Bitcoin

BTCUSD: Heavy Selloff into Stacked Support, London Range Decides

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Price is sitting at the confluence of Previous Day and Previous Week. That's a level worth paying attention to.

This isn't a coincidence. When Previous Day and Previous Week line up, you're looking at a zone where a lot of decisions get made. Stops cluster there. Liquidity sits there. The market is going to react, one way or the other.

Right now the read is bearish. Structure is bearish on the lower timeframes. The sessions have been bearish. The level is holding as resistance until something tells me otherwise. That's the honest take.

A lot of people are going to see this confluence and assume bounce. They'll buy the level because it looks clean on the chart. That's not analysis, that's hoping. Confluence is not a signal. It's a zone where you wait.

What I need to see before changing the read:

A displacement to the upside. A real one. Strong candle, clean break, momentum behind it. Not a wick into the level and back. Not a fakeout that gets sold into the next session. A move that says price is actually rejecting the bearish context.

Or a clean MSS through structure. Higher high on the timeframe I'm working, taking out the last lower high that mattered. That's the shift. Until then, every push up is a sell opportunity, not a reversal.

I'm not long here. I'm watching. The level either holds and price continues down, or price breaks it and I reassess. Both outcomes are fine. What's not fine is forcing a trade because the chart looks pretty.

This is the part most traders skip. The waiting. The doing nothing while the setup develops. But this is where the edge lives. Not in the entry, in the patience before it.

If displacement comes, I'll post the follow-up. If it doesn't, the bearish read stays.

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