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jpfortin
Jan 11, 2018 6:46 PM

BTC going from downtrend to a range 

Bitcoin / United States DollarCoinbase

Description

BTC sellers are tired (multiple breaches & pull backs) as the down trend is transitioning to a range (pink box). Now mid-day on 01/11/2018:
- 50-100-200 MA are parallel on the 4HR since the dead cross on 01/06/2018
- no more lower HIs & LOs and we have an average volume (+- 25M).
- 4HR RSI oversold and 1HR is at 50
- MACD at the lower end and on the increase.
- Anticipating a V-formation (bottom) on the 1HR by the end of the day - indicating reversal.

Sold at 15675 and bought back at 14150 with stop loss at 13750.

Going LONG... good luck

Comment

We are still playing in my pink box, will update chart to anticipate when and how high the break out upward will be. Cheers

Trade active

Buying more BTC @ 12987.56 - however it may spike down to below 12K as the week is closing - so I have a setup a stop buy order to but at $11,111.11 and will take anything up to $12987.56

Comment

Weekend dump coming up, then back to range (pink box0. I expect price to peak down as low as below 12K, but make sure you are in BTC by Sunday night GMT. Good luck.

Comment

400 BTC Sell wall on GDAX... Welcome to the weekend

Comment

Wow - seeing many probes on the hourly and we are still under seller's conditions halfway through this weekend. Volume is decreasing went from 18M to 8.7M within 24 hrs on GDAX. Last I saw that, we had a pull back of almost 50% and big guys were buying. If we hit volume under 7M and we head down under 13.5K - I expect a break out downward as low as 8K. I may have to reset my entries at 11.1K, which we might well hit Sunday morning. I think we are going to need a bigger pink box.

Trade closed: target reached

Bought at 11.3K and sold at 12.1K - now closing this trade with new lower position, which I will post today. Maybe this is the long awaited retracement: if it retraces more than 60% for at least another week - well that bubble we were fearing has burst. Volume is going up and heavy hands are being shaken which are about 40% of current holders. We are still in selling territory so strap on for more lows.
Comments
Treefort
I'm with you. How many times do you think the top of the range will get tested before we break out?
jpfortin
@Treefort, Good morning, it will be tested several times as sellers and buyers are now fighting for supremacy. New money is expected to pour in as new exchanges are now popping up and shitcoins are getting more bad press (TRON, XRP, ...) - I am sticking with BTC and will probably start trading (scalping) BCH on GDAX. I am anticipating a break out upward by Jan 15th - this Monday.
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