Expect the pattern to change. Maybe the bull market will start months before halving rather than a year sooner.
BallaJi
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@GreenValleyTrading, yup im open to new scenarios ... especially once a cycle becomes common shared knowledge. expect it to change. ie no blowoff top in 2021
wargolynch
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@BallaJi, Because there was not enough demand in November 2021 does not mean we won't see a 12k capitulation during this recession though.
BallaJi
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@GreenValleyTrading, Yup. The last idea I shared is in regards to how far the Rates need to rise.. Narrative in financial press seems they are confident that the FED is nearly done.
Quite dangerous narrative ... Hopium on a macro level.