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lofihenny
Dec 13, 2021 6:14 PM

bitcoin has topped for this cycle. here's why Short

Bitcoin / United States DollarCoinbase

Description

technical signs btc has topped:

- bearish divergence on the weekly MACD and RSI
- bearish divergence on the monthly MACD and RSI
- weekly MACD crossed bearish
- 4 months out of this year has been spent in this rising wedge that broke down
- closed 2 weekly candles under 20 week SMA (crucial support for btc , especially in bull market phases)
- about 22 months into the cycle, top should be in now. (see Plan B's btc stock to flow chart)

now for some fundamental reasons:

- everyone expects a blowoff top so it wont happen. whales seemingly frontran this and are selling now
- retail is rediculously bullish
- fed taper narrative
- ive heard random people in public talking about nft's and crypto. this is not a normal thing for non-bubbles
- btc etf was introduced ( btc futures open was literally the top of the 2017 cycle)

if you know me in person, there is one more chart i have found that is a sure fire sign that the top is in. ask me to show u next time we are in person.
Comments
unknownpower
"ive heard random people in public talking about nft's and crypto. this is not a normal thing for non-bubbles"
This is actually somewhat of a good point to think about
DACapitalTrading
thanks for sharing
Traveler4774
More correction ahead BUT this cycle not over. Same haters every time, you would think people would learn. We overestimate mankind’s humility.
B_Musk
This Bull market has barely begun for many assets. Don’t conflate the growth of a small subset of assets with the broader market. Many months of gains left, including BTC.
B_Musk
You are mistaken, but that’s ok, we have to learn by taking a few punches
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