UnknownUnicorn10172642

How low can BTC go?

Short
COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
BTCUSD has been in an uptrend scenario since mid-March. Here is what I believe is possible in the near future in terms of correction, based on trend/chart analysis.

  • Around $9K: This will be the first pullback and should happen soon (almost there), unless bulls overpower the market. Around $9k we will test the top of the 2018 downtrend channel, as can be seen by the chart. If by some miracle we manage to escape bears above the downtrend channel, we will likely continue pumping higher.
  • Around $7k - $8k: If we don't hold above the downtrend line, we will likely correct even further to $7-$8k as the next major support.
  • Around $6k - $7k: If market sentiment and bulls are optimistic, BTCUSD will likely halt its correction around this level. The two cloud-blue (cyan) trend lines are parallel to each other and represent the current uptrend channel. It is possible that we would bounce back from that channel and not go further down, depending on how strong the bulls are.
  • Around $5k: IF markets crash in an unforeseeable way, or of there is lack of trust/use for crypto/Bitcoin - it is possible that it will blast right through the support trend line and go to $5k or below. However, there is no need to worry. During the March crash, BTCUSD reached around $3900. Anything above that number will be bullish, and will likely be the trigger for THE bull run that most anticipate, bringing us to new ATH.
  • Below the green striped line is unknown territory, and is unlikely we will see BTCUSD there. The circumstances probably have to be extreme :D


Please let me know what do you think about the anticipated BTC "crash" in the comments below! In the meantime - make sure you have stop-loss ready always. Feedback is always highly appreciated, too!
And stay safe everyone :)
Comment:
Note: in march we went from 10,000$ to below $4,000 in three weeks. It is not impossible to repeat that story.
Comment:

I am anticipating something similar to this ^. Forming a higher low and hitting the bottom of the uptrend channel at around $6.5k-$7k.

As to what could cause this - There are many factors that could come into play. For example - stock markets, USD value, economy, COVID-19, presidential elections... Even a USDT lawsuit could result in a significant price impact for BTC the whole market, similar to the one from March. :)
Comment:
Volume is a joke, BTC is likely going down:
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