Feeling fearful? Better sell now before the market really tanks? Emotion is a money killer. Fear & Greed index now at 37. Blood is on the streets, it is literally the best moment to buy, into the fear.
1) One of my favourite indicators is telling us a breakout is coming in the days ahead. On the above 1-day chart the Money Flow Index (MFI) is currently showing resistance (bottom oscillator). Resistance is shown by the blue lines. Look left, following a breakout on the previous two occasions price action rallies.
2) Confluence with the MFI is necessary for it to be meaningful. Stochastic RSI was below 20 prior to the MFI breakout previous occasions just as it is now. This is indicated by the orange curves.
3) The weekly chart below shows the 9-year support and resistance trend line. Recently price action broke through and tested as support. Support was confirmed.
Entry price? 45k is amazing if you can get it.
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Doubts over which way Bitcoin is going over the next 10-days? The 10-day chart below printed a new candle on May 1st and makes it very clear what we should expect ;)
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Short term target, $61400 - that's the one to watch. A break + support confirmation will result the in the 75k occurring rather quickly.
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Everything continues to look good - just waiting for this pennant to break out. Until then price action will be the most boring thing ever. Be patient.
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Above I put the entry price from 45k. This is an update to that and is now $40 - 42k - amazing if you can get it, ignore the fear.
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BTC price action has produced yet another 'incredible buy' condition. Incredible opportunities for those that can look beyond the current fear now being experienced by the market: alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/
Always buy into fear.
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Price action lands on the 50-week EMA.
The last time Bitcoin touched the 50-week EMA during a technical bull market was back in May 2013.
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The importance of looking left is valuable and never better illustrated at the present moment when fear is almost maxed out.
Circled in orange is the Stochastic RSI crossing up 20. Compare and contrast what happens to price action each and every time this occurs.
Are you with me?
Now repeat the comparison when RSI is <40 (the thick blue line). Now you see.
We’re not worried because we looked left ;)
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Fear & Greed now "Extreme fear - 10", buy when there's blood on the streets.
A re-test of the 37k seems probable but by no means certain. Next near term target 48K before continued consolidation.
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Watch how this candle completes at Sunday midnight June 13th. Thus far it is a good indication throughout the week buyers have shown continued support with each sell off. If it prints 'green', sellers are confirmed exhausted.
Two further observations:
1) The candle is forming a Dragonfly DOJI
2) Stochastic RSI has begun crossing up (circled in green) following a cross down of the 80 level 150 days ago. The last time Stochastic RSI was this low under 80 without crossing up 20 (bullish), was back in May 2014!
Watch that candle!
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That weekly inverse head & shoulders I started this idea on is becoming more clear, just did not expect the head to reach so far down...
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Price closing above 55k this week opens the target to 75k.
Whats your take 75k on BTC, will we see deeper correction after new ATH than we had previously? Thanks for the input!
without_worries
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@Mr_Allroad, Will study when we get there. When the weekly charts prints a lower high that will be the sign we're entering a significant downtrend. I don't see that at this moment.
ricardo_santos
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Thank you for the analysis @without_worries ! Does this growth mean that the Bitcoin market dominance will increase accordingly?
without_worries
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@ricardo_santos, That would seem likely. BTC dominance is heavily oversold on the 3-day chart.
without_worries
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@ricardo_santos, I should add, light of my recent alt-coin dominance chart idea, that just because BTC dominance is oversold does not mean it will pick up soon. It could stay oversold for weeks.
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@without_worries, A breakout for Bitcoin, might be what the market and the alts need for a reversal to more bullish patterns. Along with your other idea regarding BTC dominance, this means that alts should breakout even stronger than Bitcoin will in the coming days. Is this your assumption too ?