In the past 24 hours we have seen another rebound off the $232 level after a sharp decline following a brief period of stability above the $243 level.
The move was not exactly unexpected despite having broken through multiple support levels within the space of an hour. As we can see from the narrowing price movements and the converged Moving Averages, the market was bound to move in a strong direction at some point. It’s likely that with this expectation, the lack of any strong upward direction during this period would cause optimism to diminish, leading to the bears being in control and a subsequent drop to occur.
Further pressure is not out of the picture currently and if the market keeps the price below the 23.6% retracement, another testing of the $232 level is likely.
If the price is pushed past the 23.6% retracement towards the $240 level, this would indicate a market correction towards territory. This would open up the possibility for another rally to attempt a break past the .
The future direction of the price is largely based on the market’s ability to keep it above $232, since there in very little support under that level until $223. Staying above that point would mean that there is a fairly strong bias present in the market that has the potential to create further upward pressure. However a sustained break down past the $232 level would indicate that the bulls have given up on trying to hold the price at that level.
In other words, I'm still more convinced of a retest of 180 than I am of 350+
This recent retrace is most likely a position building step for that move down. IMO
It's what happens until the inevitable support retests that's interesting and given the right circumstances I see the potential for another move up, even if it is a relatively weak one. Would definitely say that the price is still very much in a down trend overall and 180 is a lot more likely than 350+