ProwdClown

$10 Million End Game; Political, Geopolitical & Economic FA.

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
This is a "brief" FA ( Fundamental Analysis ) to determine possible future Bitcoin price in US dollars based ONLY on Political, Geopolitical and Economic state of the world present day and in the years to come.

The current price of bitcoin has NOT "priced in" the bitcoin block halving to occur a year from now.  We SHOULD see exponential growth the 2 years 6 months remaining in the current Wyckoff Phases "C, D & E" Cycle from April, 2019 to December 2021.  In fact, we should see even more growth this cycle than we did during the 2 year 3 month Wyckoff Phase "C, D & E" cycle we had from October, 2015 to December, 2017; PROVIDING we do not have hacks again inside two major exchanges as we did in 2016.  Here is a chart to show an example of what I mean by Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic Phases "C, D & E."



We likely test the $19,666 ATH on BitStamp by year end (2019).  I'm anticipating a relatively high likelihood we see another leg up in August, 2019 AFTER we go through a correction in the near term.  September, 2019 should be a depressing bearish month as usual; with October, 2019 showing signs of new life to another bull rally that should go into high gear the months of November and December, 2019 to get us back to or near testing the ATH of $19,666.

It should be quite evident with every quarterly report issued around the world that the world is falling more into a recession; if not a depression.  Many Central Banks around the world will be forced into negative interest rates to TRY to saturate their economies with FIAT in an effort to increase the velocity of money.  Some Central Banks are already in negative interest rates in an effort to try to keep their FIAT system going while trying to figure out a narrative to shill to citizens as to WHY their FIAT system failed.  

Unfortunately, most citizens do not realize how much of a scam the Central Banking System is.  Central Banks are PRIVATE institutions owned by rich individuals with absolutely no accountability to the government or citizens of governments.  They have had the privilege of CREATING MONEY (FIAT) OUT OF THIN AIR to loan to governments, banks and multi-national corporations WITH INTEREST ATTACHED.  We The People are expected to pay back loans they provide to our government from money created out of thin air WITH INTEREST ATTACHED.  The Treasury of each country DOES NOT NEED a Central Bank owned by private individuals to create money out of thin air to loan to them WITH INTEREST.  

Why can't Treasury Departments create money OUT OF THIN AIR THEMSELVES WITHOUT CHARGING THE CITIZENS OF COUNTRIES INTEREST?  BOTTOM LINE:  The Central Banking System is the BIGGEST SCAM in human history that was created by rich individuals to steal the wealth of countries and citizens within those countries to CONTROL US and to RULE OVER US as a so-called "Elite" while having us as their serfs.  The Central Banks bribed politicians to get their scam started in the early 1900's and still bribe politicians today to continue their scam to enrich themselves while enslaving and controlling the rest of us.

Trump is pressuring the Federal Reserve (U.S. Central Bank ) to cut interest rates to keep the stock market going because Trump and the Federal Reserve both see the economy falling into despair. Trump KNOWS how the Central Banks manipulate economies with their interest rates while stealing wealth from citizens of countries with a hidden tax called, "inflation."  Central Banks will be FORCED to lower interest rates as a world wide economic collapse approaches.  However, I don't see the collapse becoming evident to citizens around the world until AFTER the 2020 elections.  In the meantime, Trump is having the plunge protection team keep the stock markets in the U.S. at relatively high levels until AFTER the elections.

Once Trump wins the 2020 election, the world wide economic collapse will be on our doorstep.  FIAT currencies will begin failing as hyper-inflation rears its head.  Economies around the world will begin falling into a severe recession and/or depression.  It is that reason alone WHY I believe we will see EXPONENTIAL GROWTH in crypto-currencies from now till the 2020 elections in the U.S. and into the next decade.

Smart Money knows ALL FIAT CURRENCIES eventually go to zero.  That same "smart money" is using their FIAT currency "while they still can" to buy up REAL ASSETS like gold , silver , art, land, crypto-currencies, etc...  Purchasing Crypto-Currency is a means to hedge the coming hyper-inflation, recession and/or depression.  We can anticipate a tsunami of money to begin coming into the crypto-currency space the remainder of 2019 and 2020 in anticipation of the coming recession/depression. Which will likely go into full swing in first or second quarter of 2021 AFTER the 2020 election in November of 2020.

So, as for the Bitcoin Block Halving of 2020 being "priced in" already; not by a long shot.  We are only getting started.  After the Bitcoin Block Halving of 2020 we will see a tsunami of FIAT capital pouring into crypto-currencies to exit from a failing FIAT Central Banking System.

"10 Million Dollar Bitcoin End Game." - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3VgbQ23...

The Golden Path - $10,000,000 in 10 Years:  Which would be $200 Trillion Market Cap just for Bitcoin alone.  This does not include Alt-Coins.  I'm only saying this is POSSIBLE.  Not saying it will occur 100%.  $200 Trillion Market Cap for ALL crypto currencies combined is quite possible in 10 years based on current political, geopolitical and economic conditions in the world today.  We will have a better idea of possible price in 10 years from now by the time we begin another Distribution Phase in 2022.



Comment: REGARDLESS of who is elected President of the United States in November 2020, we should continue to see exponential growth in most worth while crypto currencies. The purpose of this publication is to encourage productive discussion on what is occurring in the world today that can end up having a positive affect for crypto currencies.

NONE of my videos are financial advice. They are simply MY "OPINION."

It is "my opinion" one should seriously consider getting out of their 401k, IRA or other financial PAPER instruments as soon as possible; EVEN WITH A PENALTY AND TAXES. Then use what remains after penalty and taxes to diversify into PHYSICAL Gold, Silver, Land and worth while Crypto-Currencies; such as BTC, LTC, ETH, XMR and Cardano.

The crypto currencies mentioned above are MY PERSONAL PREFERENCE. It's fine if you have your own personal preference. What's more important is to SERIOUSLY CONSIDER GETTING OUT OF PAPER FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AS SOON AS POSSIBLE.

Maybe you're wondering if you should wait until just before the U.S. 2020 elections in November? That may be fine if your plans are to buy physical gold, silver and land. However, I'm anticipating crypto currencies to continue rising to new all time highs by the time we are approaching the 2020 elections in the U.S. Which means the penalty and taxes you would have paid for getting out of your paper financial instruments would ALREADY BE COVERED by the likely increased gains in crypto-currency prices.
Comment: AGAIN, the purpose of this publication is ONLY to get people to SERIOUSLY THINK about putting themselves in a position to protect their wealth and create wealth. Because we are about to witness the biggest wealth transfer in human history over the next decade.
Comment: Edgy_ (in comments below) mentioned the PRIVATE federal reserve and the ECB fighting against crypto in an effort to continue their money creation out of thin air WHILE charging countries interest on the money THEY CREATE OUT OF THIN AIR.

When the world sees the PRIVATE Federal Reserve in the U.S. stripped of its money creation privileges in the future and the U.S. economy begin to flourish, many other countries will follow suit by getting rid of their central bank and getting their TREASURY to print money WITHOUT INTEREST ATTACHED to burden their citizens.

So, there will still be FIAT currencies. It's just I see a coming reset of the current system that's without Rothchild Central Banks in control of money printing out of thin air and charging countries interest for their citizens to pay. The great awakening is occurring slowly but surely. In the meantime, be sure to put yourself in a position to capitalize on the greatest wealth transfer in history over the next decade.
Comment: Another consideration is selling your home if you have a decent amount of equity at current real estate prices and downsize for a few years. The housing bubble is beginning to burst. So, if you a decent amount of equity and you're able to sell your home before the housing bubble pops, you can use your gains to position yourself in crypto currencies, gold, silver, etc... But of course, invest a decent percentage in crypto currencies.

Again, this is my opinion... Simply providing food for thought for those who may have decent equity in their home.
Comment: Pardon the repeated notifications...

If you have a WHOLE LIFE insurance policy, that is another PAPER instrument one might consider transferring into actual physical assets such as gold, silver and/or crypto currencies.

During a financial collapse, we can anticipate many banks to fail. Insurance companies also make investments in other paper instruments. If your insurance company is too heavily invested in paper instruments vulnerable to a coming collapse, you might see your whole life insurance policy disappear.

If you are approaching retirement to receive a pension, PLEASE CONSIDER only accepting a one lump sum and invest a decent percentage of your pension in crypto currencies. Also diversify into physical gold and silver with your pension.

That's enough for now. I'm getting hungry...

Stay Awesome!

David
Comment: Best Price Curve Projection to year 2030 I've seen yet. Check it out!

Thanks Shadovvex

Comment: FlaviusTodorius67 makes great points in his publication posted (below) in comments section. Thanks for sharing, FlaviuusTodorius67. Here's his comments with his publication:

"I think you and many others here on tradingview are being far too optimistic with the BTC price projections. Using an exponential channel will give you insanely high prices very fast, and if one takes into account all the datapoints since 2010, we can see that BTC is not doing a pure exponential.

Instead, it is flattening more and more, the factor between the peaks reducing more and more. This leads to some kind of squareroot function in the logarithmic chart. Here is my latest longterm view:



We'd get 120k in 2021, 500k in 2025, and 1.3million around 2030. Still insane enough, but of course more conservative. And the datapoints currently suggest this kind of behavior as compared to the purely exponential one.
Comment: The MAIN purpose for this publication was to have construtive discussion how current and future political, geopolitical and economical circumstances can and/or may affect the future price of Bitcoin and other worth while crypto currencies. The main source that got me thinking about HOW can we possibly see $10,000,000 Bitcoin was this YouTube post here; titled, "$10 Million Bitcoin End Game." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3VgbQ23... I chose the cover chart you see in this publication to fit the title of the YouTube video to promote discussion on HOW we could possibly see $10,000,000 per Bitcoin.

Thanks again for everyone who has taken the time to read this publication and certainly appreciate those who contribute in the comments section below.

Stay Awesome!

David
Comment: As previously mentioned; I'm anticipating quite a bit of capital from smart money to flow into crypto from now till at least the end of the 2020 Election. Mainly because I believe smart money knows we are likely to have serious problems in the financial system the first or second quarter of 2021. Which implies they are looking for somewhere to park their capital in an effort to try to shield it from a coming financial meltdown.

If the banking system collapses, this can even bring about serious problems for those who have invested in the stock market through brokers. Why? Because those brokers; such as Tradersway; hold their users funds in a bank. If they bank that holds their funds goes under, the funds of their users may potentially disappear through what is called a "Bail-In."

The previous paragraph is only one of many scenarios that could unfold in the coming financial meltdown that could seriously cripple many individuals and institutions financially. The purpose of this publication was to encourage people to SERIOUSLY CONSIDER the future potential ramifications of having a large portion of their capital tied up in PAPER assets. Even those of us on crypto exchanges have to take this into consideration because many exchanges rely on banks to hold FIAT for their customers. Such as Gemini, Bitstamp, BitFinex, Kraken, Bittrex, etc... If and/or when banks go under do to a financial collapse, the crypto exchanges and their users will be adversely affected. Some of them could potentially shut down. Which is why it's not a bad idea to take whatever amount of cryptos one may be holding near the end of 2020 off the crypto exchange to store in cold wallets to protect their capital.

There are simply so many financial disasters that can unfold if the current financial (banking) system were to collapse. This coming financial meltdown will be a huge test for crypto currencies in so many ways. In regards to trust; adoption; scalability; how exchanges are affected; etc...
Comment: User, pablo36 asked the following way down in the visitors comments section, "...why is the market cap so ridiculously low? Could you explain your vision of things regarding this matter?"

My response: The market cap will be ridiculously high in time for a number of reasons. Many of those reasons have already been provided in response to others in the visitors comments section. Since your question is down this low in the early comments, I'm assuming you already read my responses to several in the visitors comments?

It's only a matter of time before the market cap goes ridiculously high with little resistance. We have less and less Bitcoin on exchange wallets. This is clearly evident by comparing the balance of exchange wallets today to 2017.

More Bitcoins are being accumulated by HODLERS and taken off exchange all the time. Eventually, there will come a time when the market will go up exponentially with very little resistance (supply). There will come a time when Over The Counter (OTC) Markets are useless because very few (if any at all) will be willing to sell large blocks of bitcoin. Eventually, there will come a time when buyers are waiting on the price to be of a liking to tempt HODLERS into letting go of some bitcoin. That price will vary from one HODLER to the next. This conundrum will become more evident AFTER the Bitcoin Block Halving in July, 2020 (When the number of bitcoins per block are cut in half once again; reducing the supply).

BOTTOM LINE: This is a ticking exponential time bomb waiting to explode in my opinion. Especially, if we also take into account the political, geopolitical and economic landscape currently and into the near future.

Feel free to join in to add your thoughts/opinions on the matter...

Stay Awesome!

David
I think my chart and FlaviusTodorius67's chart pretty much say the same thing. My chart is showing that BTC has lost 1 rally level per cycle thus far. You might also notice that in this last recent "Bear Market" how hard price pressed upon the support. Where before there is a comfortable and consistant small gap along the curve. This may indicate that we may see a "crash" in BTC to the 100K projection support line down from our current projection of 1M if it fails to hold. Which may not be a crash in the logarithmic sense. It could easily be represented as simply side action on my chart. This "crash" would correlate to FlaviusTodorius67's chart of BTC narrowing in price over time. I presented my chart the way I did to avoid a negative curvature at the start of the projections.
+2 Reply
ProwdClown Shadovvhex
@Shadovvhex,

$1M to $100k would be close to the norm. The last drop from all time high was approximately 84.5 percent. Which would put a drop from $1M to approximately $155k. Time will tell...
Reply
Shadovvhex ProwdClown
@ProwdClown, Time will. I think after playing with these curves it's safe to say there's just not enough data yet to extrapolate. If you change values you get additional correlations of contact along curves that just serve to confuse. In my opinion we need 1 more rally AND a bear market to gain enough data to even begin discovery. We need more points to verify (to a degree) that potential curve.
Reply

Are you divine ? Very crazy idea
+3 Reply
ProwdClown tanzerceltikci
@tanzerceltikci,

ROFLMAO... ; )

If you haven't watched the video link titled, "$10 Million Bitcoin End Game" you ought to watch it. When I watched it, I began wondering what would have to occur on the political, geopolitical and economic landscape around the world for this to happen. Especially, in a relatively short time frame of 10 years. The MAIN purpose of this publication was to discuss current and upcoming political, geopolitical and economic events and how these events COULD affect the price of Bitcoin exponentially.

Stay Awesome!

David
+1 Reply
ProwdClown tanzerceltikci
@tanzerceltikci,

This scenario provided by @FlaviusTodorius67 would probably be more reasonable. Time will tell...

Reply
I really like and respect your charts Prowdclown, but I think you and many others here on tradingview are being far too optimistic with the BTC price projections. Using an exponential channel will give you insanely high prices very fast, and if one takes into account all the datapoints since 2010, we can see that BTC is not doing a pure exponential.

Instead, it is flattening more and more, the factor between the peaks reducing more and more. This leads to some kind of squareroot function in the logarithmic chart. Here is my latest longterm view:


We'd get 120k in 2021, 500k in 2025, and 1.3million around 2030. Still insane enough, but of course more conservative. And the datapoints currently suggest this kind of behavior as compared to the purely exponential one.
+2 Reply
ProwdClown FlaviusTodorius67
@FlaviusTodorius67,

Thanks for sharing, FlaviusTodorius. The main purpose of this publication was to encourage conversation and sharing of charts and ideas. Certainly appreciate your contribution!

Your publication definitely appears more "doable" by 2030. Which would be about a 20 Trillion market cap for Bitcoin all by itself. Which would equate to close to 40 Trillion total market cap for ALL coins.

I shared your publication in the main body of the publication above our comments section.

Stay Awesome!

David
+1 Reply
@ProwdClown, Thanks ProwdClown, that's very noble of you, I greatly appreciate it :)
Ok, I understand now. Indeed, under some geopolitical circumstances, a price point of 10 million USD per BTC might be possible.

Economic collapse, USD devaluation, etc, all that stuff could of course boost BTC to higher prices than we think.
So then BTC could revert back to the exponential channel, which would match your chart very well.

Thanks also for your analyses and charts, I greatly appreciate them, they certainly are among the best on tradingview!
Keep the awesome charts coming and have a great day :)
+1 Reply
ProwdClown FlaviusTodorius67
@FlaviusTodorius67,

Hi FlaviusTodorlus,

Apologies for the delay getting back in touch. I fell to sleep...
"
Sure, you're very welcome! If someone shares an "awesome" chart/publication with excellent points to provide further constructive discussion, I will certainly share it in the body of my publication. You made excellent points. So, I thought it was worth sharing to viewers for discussion.

Yes, as I mentioned to a couple of people (below) in visitor comments, I'm anticipating quite a bit of capital from smart money to flow into crypto from now till at least the end of the 2020 Election. Mainly because I believe smart money knows we are likely to have serious problems in the financial system the first or second quarter of 2021. Which implies they are looking for somewhere to park their capital in an effort to try to shield it from a coming financial meltdown.

If the banking system collapses, this can even bring about serious problems for those who have invested in the stock market through brokers. Why? Because those brokers; such as Tradersway; hold their users funds in a bank. If they bank that holds their funds goes under, the funds of their users may potentially disappear through what is called a "Bail-In."

The previous paragraph is only one of many scenarios that could unfold in the coming financial meltdown that could seriously cripple many individuals and institutions financially. The purpose of this publication was to encourage people to SERIOUSLY CONSIDER the future potential ramifications of having a large portion of their capital tied up in PAPER assets. Even those of us on crypto exchanges have to take this into consideration because many exchanges rely on banks to hold FIAT for their customers. Such as Gemini, Bitstamp, BitFinex, Kraken, Bittrex, etc... If and/or when banks go under do to a financial collapse, the crypto exchanges and their users will be adversely affected. Some of them could potentially shut down. Which is why it's not a bad idea to take whatever amount of cryptos one may be holding near the end of 2020 off the crypto exchange to store in cold wallets to protect their capital.

There are simply so many financial disasters that can unfold if the current financial (banking) system were to collapse. This coming financial meltdown will be a huge test for crypto currencies in so many ways. In regards to trust; adoption; scalability; how exchanges are affected; etc...

Thanks again for sharing your work! Certainly appreciate it and your contribution! Also thanks for the kind comments.

Stay Awesome!

David
+1 Reply
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