Bitcoin could not exit the falling channel. Price broke through a small support line. You should not expect growth, t trend is falling + price has broken the support line + BTCUSD in the falling channel. Now I expect a fall to the bottom line of the falling channel.
But may fall to below $3,600. The probability of lower falls obviously increases with each lower price, hence the probability of a fall below $3,600 may increase to greater than 50% should the BTC price hit $3,600. These probabilities are part of a fluid dynamic, in which the probability of price X may only be derived from the fact of price Y, alongside Chart Analysis and in particular whether the macro is bullish or bearish