TradingView
Swoop6
Sep 26, 2019 9:07 AM

How to time a long Short

Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBitstamp

Description

So as you can see we broke support of our big descending triangle and everybody is now screaming BUY THE DIP! and here is why I'M NOT:
1.This is the first move to the downside after breaking support
2.We have been seeing very bearish price action since our 13.8k~ blow off top which was confirmed quite well by volume
3.BTC goes in cycles parabolic run ups and vicious busts down...to me this is just the beginning of the downward moves to come
4.If you look at the 6k-3k move we have not seen any volume like this to identify a possible bottom yet If anything we're just starting this path until the last BTC is sold
5. Smart money has already made it's gains they have accumulated low and sold high

From my other charts I had jan/feb next year as a time we would bottom however BTC cycles are getting faster over time and we may reach it earlier, as for when would I be bullish? well I would change my view when that 13.8k~ top is busted until then i'm quite bearish.
I'n summary we want to see sell volume increasing very rapidly until it does not then ideally we consolidate sideways for a bit to find a bottom before starting the new cycle up, I will note that BTC typically overshoots support so having any price in mind is not the best idea you're better off
following the price action and as I said look for volume to confirm the majority of sellers have left the market gl.

Comment

Given reason price action id say there is a 80% chance we see 6k levels gl.

Comment

The move has only just started and we will likely see more waterfalls down with sideways chop struggle to see $7700 holding
Comments
UnknownUnicorn4304403
I always appreciate you in the chat. You offer an objective view that sometimes conflicts with my analysis but you are always civil and that is a delight. Some people cannot have a civil disagreement. They automatically start calling names and bring the insults. You may disagree with the stuff I post which is okay as long as you are a decent person about it which you are. Cheers to you Swoop
Swoop6
@HeisenbergBTC, Cheers man I'm def not the nicest person though lol, I'm a very objective thinker by nature which is a gift and a curse at times.
UnknownUnicorn4304403
@Swoop6, As long as you are respectful you dont always need to be nice. You offer a different view point and seeing things through the eyes of others will help you learn and grow. Keep up the good work my friend
More