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UnknownUnicorn17032407
Jul 4, 2022 2:45 AM

BTCUSD, 12k or 9.6k, volume profile and the bad news bears Short

Bitcoin all time history indexINDEX

Description

Volume profile on INDEX:BTCUSD on monthly chart after cycle up in 2019

The high volume cluster at the bottom is obvious. The POC for the whole profile up to the current price today is in the 9.2k range.

The edge of the high volume cluster is around 12k.

There's plenty of liquidity gaps (fair value gaps, FVGs, whatever you like to call them) between here and there.

Those gaps tend to get filled as supply and demand tends to equilibrium, as we're seeing now and profiting from.

Shorters of the world, unite!

Set your leverage right, TP at 12k, watch for a bounce, then long as we come back up to fill in the gaps some more.
Comments
UnknownUnicorn17032407
sorry for the typo in the title, should be 9.2K! not 9.6K!
cure4virus
Could you please explain some things here?
A) Why you take the Ratio of btc / Dollar Index ?
B) What is the Indicator at the Bottom ?

Thank you
UnknownUnicorn17032407
@cure4virus, the BTCUSD index is an aggregate, it uses data from several different sources, not just one exchange or one market, so it is a good overall picture of the general BTC market instead of only one market (spot or futures) on only one exchange

i believe volume is essential for any quality analysis of a market and very insightful to where the important price ranges are, so i used the volume profile and MFI here

MFI is the money flow indicator (or index); i like it because it includes *VOLUME* and uses the *typical price* (the hlc3) of each time period instead of the closing price, like many indicators are based on

the typical price (hlc3) is the average of the high, low, and close of a time period, so it's called hlc3

hlc3 gives a better indication of the price action during that time period instead of just the closing price, which is just the price of only one trade during that whole time period, the trade that just happened to be the very last trade.... a lot more happened than just that final trade!

investopedia has some good articles about MFI, but the basic idea is comparing positive money flow and negative money flow to measure the strength of buying or selling

if the typical price went up, that period's volume weighted typical price is added to the positive money flow

similarly, if the typical price decreased, its volume weighted typical price is added to the negative money flow

then a ratio of the positive money flow and the negative money flow is used to calculate the index value
cure4virus
Wow - where have you been hiding man. Very good analysis.
UnknownUnicorn17032407
@cure4virus, thanks for the compliment, best wishes for your trades!
LastHope2020
Hell yes mate 🤑🤑🤑
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