BTCUSD: Market Maker Sell Model (MMSM) Activated at 2HR OB!

Technical Breakdown

1. Left Side of Curve (Origin of the Move)
SMT & POI: The initial phase started with a Point of Interest (POI) and SMT (Smart Money Technique) divergence at the lows, signaling institutional accumulation.
Low Resistance Liquidity / Failure Swing: Late sellers were trapped here, creating a pool of relatively clean highs that acted as a magnet for the subsequent rally.
Sell Side Of Curve: The market engineered a deep curve downward to clear out retail stops before starting the actual markup phase.

2. Right Side of Curve (Distribution at Premium)
2HR Order Block: The yellow highlighted zone at the top ($64,500 – $65,500) has acted as a hard ceiling. Price is actively mitigating this order block, trapping breakout buyers.
Fair Value Gap (F.V.G): Down at $58,500 – $59,000, a major unmitigated daily/H4 FVG remains open, serving as the ultimate magnet for this bearish model.

3. The Bearish Projection & Targets
The black path line outlines the expected institutional delivery path:
First Stage: Rejection from the 2HR OB down through External Range Liquidity (~$63,000).
Second Stage: A minor bounce/retest of Range High (~$62,000) turning into resistance.
Expansion Down: A swift drop targeting the Lots Of Liquidity pool resting cleanly at $61,000, ultimately heading lower to fill the structural inefficiencies.
The Trading Plan

📉 Entry Zone: $64,500 – $65,000 (Inside the 2HR Order Block mitigation)
🛑 Stop Loss (Invalidation): Daily close above $65,600 (Above the 2HR OB highs)
🎯 Target 1 (External Range Liquidity): $63,000
🎯 Target 2 (Clean Liquidity Pool): $61,000
🎯 Target 3 (F.V.G Re-test): $59,000
Is the local top in for BTC? Tell me if you are shorting this H4 mitigation or looking for one more sweep of the highs first! Let's discuss below.