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olleyy
Mar 19, 2020 5:14 AM

BTC - Be aware of both sides 

Bitcoin / United States DollarCoinbase

Description

Bitcoin is ranging between roughly 5500 and 4800-5000. I see this as a potential 'cool-off period' after such a massive move.

As you can see there is a trendline and I am using it to confirm a move down... A break of this trendline will likely send BTC down first to 4800, then 4450, then around 3660. But this would really be a guessing game with BTC, just play level-by-level.

Similarly, a break of $5575 (I am using a 4hourly and above close to base this off) will likely mean a move towards $6000 -> this also lining up with the 12H 21EMA. This area will also likely be rejected on the first test.

I know that there is bullish divergence on 4h-12h, but this doesn't mean it definitely will happen. Look at the trend we currently are in on a bigger time frame, it's down.

The next point I would like to make is that CME's seem to have a very clear symmetrical triangle / bearish pennant forming on lower time frames:

I would be using CME's as 'second source' and react to the market if one of the trendlines breaks. Sometimes CME's seem to have more accurate representations of price action. I like to use it to spot any differences compared to the spot price.

From current prices, BTC is likely going to tighten-up and price will contract before a breakout.

Trade active

4h closed above 5575
Comments
kakic
Nice, we have same idea i think, look at mine:
olleyy
@kakic, Yeah it looks pretty similar. Cheers for the comment
transparent-fx
here is what I have on it, will be following
olleyy
@transparent-fx, Thanks man appreciate it. I watched it, a really good analysis.
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