Tradersweekly

Technical analysis update: BTCUSD (20th October 2021)

Long
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
BTCUSD reached new all time high today as Bitcoin ETF reached over 1 bn. USD in AUM within just two days since it started trading. We previously noted if new all time high was reached then it would force us to change our stance from bearish to bullish. We also noted that we expected price to continue rise in case of breakout above previous all time high. We continue to think that more upside awaits BTCUSD. However, we think investors should be cautious. Volume keeps decreasing while price reaches new highs and several indicators are overvalued which suggest that price should correct. Because of that we think it would be smart to wait for any pullback before entering long position in the market. Bitcoin currently provides interesting setup with possible long entry above short-term support or short entry below short-term support.

Technical analysis
RSI is extremely overvalued and we expect it to reverse soon. We expect such occurence to be accompanied by selling pressure. Stochastic remains bullish altogether with MACD. ADX contains high value which suggests that trend is strong or near its peak. We expect volatility of BTC to stay elevated in short-term.

Support and resistance
Short-term support coincides with previous all time high of 64 895.22 USD. Support 1 appears at 59 603 USD and Support 2 at 52 956.47 USD. Closest psychological resistance lies at 70 000 USD.

Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Comment:
Volume continues to decrease as price reaches new highs.
Price continues to be overbought and we have two scenarios in mind. In first, BTC will correct and then resume bullish trend. In second, BTC reached double top and it will reverse trend to the downside.
Trade active:
BTCUSD plunged below important support level near 60 000 USD. We are currently bearish as correction started to take place.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.