Sporia

Intracycle Top Idea (BTC)

Sporia Updated   
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Today I have been going over the possibility of intracycle top playing out for bitcoin. In the past there has been one cycle that has had a intracycle top and that was the cycle of 2013 , price peaked and crashed only to come up later that year to put in a higher high.

The Fibonacci Time Zones I have set on these dates have been working really well so far at pin pointing potential pivot points in this bull run. If price does peak at 125k on June 8th 2021 there is a possibility that it is a intracycle top, with another peak following on April 13th 2022 at 320k.

The Genesis Line
This red dotted line you see in the chart acting as resistance goes back to the very beginning of bitcoin it has acted as support and resistance through the years, its by far the line that has the most confluence points in bitcoins entre history.

So from peak to peak in the cycle 2013 , it took bitcoin 235 days , the number I get using Fibonacci time zones is 298days if there is a intracycle top , also a 50% drop to the 0.5 fib would be in play since price has been dropping back to the 0.5fib the entire bull run I will link my previous TA showing exactly that.


Since there has only been one cycle before with a intracycle peak there is no real strong data to go with , one data point doesn't hold much weight. One thing's for sure is that this red resistance line is no joke and I strongly believe that its going to play a big part in bitcoins future, i will link below a picture of the Genesis line.

ibb.co/HTSKWS9
Comment:
Going over the Genesis Line , I can see that the angle I used could be off by a small amount so here are the new numbers based on this slight change.

June 8th 2021 - 104k

October 12th 2021 - 59k

April 13th 2021 - 260k
Comment:
April 13th 2022 - 260k not April 2021

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