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MacroTradingE
May 14, 2021 9:01 AM

No evidence of supply nor distribution 

Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBitstamp

Description


3d footprint

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low swept
expect to see strong close on daily with light volume to confirm "spring"

53-55k by monnday.

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LTF

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This whole schematic is the premise of the BC (Buying Climax) starting the sequence of events. The following is the definition of a Buying Climax per Wyckoff.
Buying Climax (BC): The climax ending an uptrend is called a Buying Climax because it is the end of the condition where the buying is stronger than the selling. The buying gradually builds up & builds up and finally comes in with a RUSH and EXHAUSTS itself on the buying climax. The buying climax has increased volume and a widening spread as it moves up. Following a buying climax one of two things can occur, either a (AR) or a lateral move. This in turn is followed by one of two things: either a continuation of the uptrend or a Secondary Test (ST). If the supply is to weak to drive the stock down or demand to strong to allow it to go down instead of having the (AR) the stock will have the lateral move. Usually however, it will have some form of an (AR). That (AR) may have increased volume, heavy volume or no volume. It may have wide price spread, or relatively narrow price spread.
We DID NOT have increased volume into the BC - (Buying Climax) as marked by the red arrow. If I would have seen this volume blow off, this schematic would have been followed much more closely.

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The million dollar question is whether we have had a SOW (Sign of Weakness), and a LPSY (Last Point Of Supply). Or we are in reaccumlation, and just had a Spring. I think volume is the key here. If it is a spring and we are headed higher, then we need to see good volume come in here to the upside. If we get no volume and our indicators deteriorate quickly, then it cold be a more meaningful LPSY. Then we could see more downside, before we reaccumulate and head to new all time highs.

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Comments
PADO_
Master..!
powerment1
Master sensei!
ghxodhkd
마크로님...
지금 이자리 못지키면 Wyckoff 패턴처럼 38k전후에 반등...밀리면 34-31k쯤??
요즘에 두통을 달고 사내요..ㅠㅠ
MacroTradingE
@ghxodhkd, 시장의 분포장이라고는 아직도 보이지않습니다만 38까지는 생각해야 하는 것 같아요. 왜 distribution 으로 보이지않는 것에 대한 것 글 올리겠습니다.
botob
센세! 코멘트 사진 하단의 지표가 어떤건지 여쭤봐도 되겠습니까?
botob
@botob, 혹시 MVRV인지요??
MacroTradingE
@botob, BEAM indicator 입니다.
botob
감사합니다!
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