BTC Broke out of the major downtrend correction, and thus ending it, on February 5th, as I had projected in a previous post, at the the 0.764 (anchored at the low of 1758.20 on July 15, 2015) from the ATH of 19819.99 in December.
This breakout came at the bottom of a at 5873 which then took BTC to 11775.
As detailed in a previous post, taking the Wave 2 Fibonnaci Retracement levels and applying them from the high of 11775 down to 5873, I projected a breakout in the 7800-7200 range, between the 0.618 and 0.764 Fib levels.
On March 17 BTC began a breakout at the low of 7310, at the bottom of a from 11775, to a high of 9174 on March 20.
BTC has moved progressively down, once again, in the shape of a , to its current range (as of this writing) of 8000-7850.
Applying the same Fibonnaci Retracement levels as in the two previous breakouts, the 0.764 falls to 7753.72.
As in the previous breakouts BTC dipped just below the retracement level and just before its rise, so, I expect it to do the same here.
With this data and track record I project that BTC will breakout of the current at just below the 0.764 Retracement on the green (established between the lows of 5873 and 7310) at 7650, beginning on the next daily candle of March 27, 2018.
This projection coincides with the previous pattern in which BTC has moved and broken out and if there is one thing BTC does well, it is follow major pattern movement.
P.S.: This Chart is Live on YouTube
The following 5 charts are currently showing Bullish Divergence:
A closer look at the RSI on the 4 Hour
Hidden Bullish Divergence on the Daily
You can see another example of the Inverse H&S from September there as well...
And I found more...
All of them...
As of now BTC bounced off my 0.618 Retracement at the low 7757, and is holding above the trend line (yellow) anchored from April 15, 2017, at the low of $900, to the February 6, 2018 low of 5873.
The 4Hour chart above shows that the RSI has plenty of room to run, and the MACD, MACD Histogram, and Elliott Wave Oscillator are all beginning to curve up, signaling increased upward momentum.
The 6Hour is showing a continued rise in the RSI, MACD, and Elliott Wave Oscillator- clearly indicating increased buying momentum...
BTC stopped in its tracks again at the 0.74 level, as it had done the past 24 hours, and in the previous Major lows of 5800 and 7300, which I detailed in the update prior to this.
It is showing Bullish Divergence on nearly every time frame leading up to the Daily:
And ticking up on the Daily
Following the Oscillator and movement from the previous breakout I consider this (12 Hour chart above) to be what we will see...
This 18 Hour Chart shows how tight this wedge has become prior to this coming breakout...
And in this Daily...
It has long been my position that the major correction from all time high in December ended at 5800, and I have reiterated this countless times in this post and in my previous post of BTC to 20k... I believe that we will have another breakout here, now, and continue to climb higher from here.
More to come...Happy Trading.
Overnight BTC pushed up to 8088, confirming my projection of a breakout beginning to appear at the 0.764 level, before retracing back to a local low of 7727.76...
...at the 0.764 Retracement level and above the trend line (green line) anchored at the lows of 5873 and 7310...
1439 Min (1 Day minus 1 Minute)
The chart above shows that there is Bulliah Divergence in the local area on the 1439 Minute chart...
On the 4Hour chart above we can see that BTC is forming a local rounded bottom potential reversal...and a more detailed look may confirm this on a larger scale:
...This 4Hour chart shows a rounding up of the RSI, MACD, and Elliot Wave Oscillator, along with Bullish Divergence (green lines) leading up to the local price...
A closer look at the RSI, MACD, and Elliot Wave Oscillator in the 4Hour chart mentioned previous to this.
The following series of charts shows that BTC double bottomed (yellow arrows) on the lower Bollinger Band, leading up to the previous breakout at 7310 and to the current price of BTC (blue arrows)...
on the 8 Hour
...to the 23 Hour...
...up to the 1439 Minute chart...
...and yet to appear on the Daily.
The Daily chart (above) sows today's candle as an Inverted Hammer (potential reversal at the bottom of a trend) showing strong support at the this level.
I'm watching the bull flag on the 3 minute right now....trying to break out..... COMMON BTC!!! YOU CAN DO IT!!!!!!
Time analysis has always been our Achilles heel, especially when doing analysis on larger scales and timeframes. We know BTC will resume the bull, we just don't know precisely when the final dips will end.
Hi Junior, I'd like to pass along some constructive criticism, and I hope you'll give it some thought! I know how you feel about flip flopping and how you present you ideas without compromise.. this definitely makes you unique in the crypto analyst space. But I would suggest that privately you chart alternate scenarios (e.g. bearish to a bullish view) just to keep yourself ready, and if anything strengthen your position. If you remember yesterday, I was the one talking in Youtube chat about a bearish scenario with the 8700 pivot point. I wanted the bull, but was ready for the bear. I'm not saying you should change how you present your ideas publicly, keep them uncompromised... but chart and think about alternate scenarios privately for your own thoughts. Thanks for all your hard work, it is much appreciated.