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Weavs844
Mar 6, 2019 1:16 PM

Wyckoff Distribution Pattern Short

Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBitstamp

Description

Wyckoff distribution pattern showing 2 different scenarios. One with another upthrust and one without.

Abbreviations:
PSY—preliminary supply, where large interests begin to unload shares in quantity after a pronounced up-move. Volume expands and price spread widens, signaling that a change in trend may be approaching.

BC—buying climax, during which there are often marked increases in volume and price spread. The force of buying reaches a climax, and heavy or urgent buying by the public is being filled by professional interests at prices near a top. A BC often occurs coincident with a great earnings report or other good news, since the large operators require huge demand from the public to sell their shares without depressing the stock price.

AR—automatic reaction. With intense buying substantially diminished after the BC and heavy supply continuing, an AR takes place. The low of this selloff helps define the lower boundary of the distribution TR.

ST—secondary test, in which price revisits the area of the BC to test the demand/supply balance at these price levels. If a top is to be confirmed, supply will outweigh demand, and volume and spread should decrease as price approaches the resistance area of the BC. A ST may take the form of an upthrust (UT), in which price moves above the resistance represented by the BC and possibly other STs, then quickly reverses to close below resistance. After a UT, price often tests the lower boundary of the TR.

SOW—sign of weakness, observable as a down-move to (or slightly past) the lower boundary of the TR, usually occurring on increased spread and volume. The AR and the initial SOW(s) indicate a change of character in the price action of the stock: supply is now dominant.

LPSY—last point of supply. After testing support on a SOW, a feeble rally on narrow spread shows that the market is having considerable difficulty advancing. This inability to rally may be due to weak demand, substantial supply or both. LPSYs represent exhaustion of demand and the last waves of large operators’ distribution before markdown begins in earnest.

UTAD—upthrust after distribution. A UTAD is the distributional counterpart to the spring and terminal shakeout in the accumulation TR. It occurs in the latter stages of the TR and provides a definitive test of new demand after a breakout above TR resistance. Analogous to springs and shakeouts, a UTAD is not a required structural element.

Definitions from this site: stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:market_analysis:the_wyckoff_method

Comment

Thought it might follow the UTAD plan and go down but it bounced of a bottom support level... (not always that possible to predict exact patterns one a 15 minute timeframe :P ) What we are looking for is support or resistance in one these following orange areas to make its move one way or another though

Comments
CryptoLeroy
nice! not big on the 15 min TF but this should play out nicely proving Wyckoff works on all TFs just have to know what you're looking for. Been posting some Wyckoff charts myself to see how they play out!

Keep up the good work my friend.
Weavs844
@CryptoLeroy, Think you may have been right here... :) Here is another idea of 2 hour timeframe
CryptoLeroy
@Weavs844,
thanks for the reply my friend and i mean it could be an extended phase D like you have there but i have a feeling we see more down here to atleast touch the bottom of the Wedge/trend line here -
keep me up to date on your thoughts hope your trades work out
Weavs844
Tried to find support up in the top area but couldn't find it... Down we go!
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