quantguy

Bitcoin at The Lower Bound of the Range

Long
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Although Bitcoin is quite bearish, it does seem to be at the bottom of the range, so bulls can hope for a turnaround soon even if it is just a short covering rally. The news about the US government treating ICO's as they would any other financial endeavor didn't do it any favors either (see linked article).

The Kovach Momentum indicators suggest bearishness, which is a banality by now. Note that BTC is nearing the lower bound of the KRI, which gives us hope that we may see a reversal.

Currently, bitcoin is trading at $6330.00.

Levels from above will provide resistance, including:

6900 from volume profile over the past 14 periods
6974 from sma 50
7061 from volume profile over the past 14 periods
7115 from volume profile over the past 14 periods
7186 from volume profile over the past 14 periods
7246 from volume profile over the past 14 periods
7299 from volume profile over the past 14 periods
7388 from volume profile over the past 14 periods
8424 from highs and lows over the past 100 periods
9964 from highs and lows

We will find support from levels from below including:

6198 from highs and lows over the past 14 periods
5971 from highs and lows over the past 30 periods
5826 from highs and lows over the past 100 periods

As for moreTechnical Analysis we have the following. Volatility is much lower than usual, anticipate a breakout soon. An RSI value of 39 suggests that we are in bear mode but not oversold yet. The MACD suggests that we are in a bearish phase, but that we are not oversold, yet. The 50 period SMA indicates that we are in a bear trend. Additionally, bitcoin is below the 100 period SMA, which indicates a bear trend, but not oversold yet. Finally, the 50 period SMA is above the 100 period SMA, which is a longer term confirmation of bullishness. The ADX indicator suggests a bear trend, at 28.


Bull Score: 1 Bear Score: 5 Ranging Score: 0

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