@ZoroCapital, that idea is absolutely reasonable, and I quite like it myself, but i will not be shorting, I would rather open a long with a tight SL in case if you missed the boat, but otherwise your idea is as sound as they get.
Cryptalion
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EXCITEMENT THE ONLY FACTOR THAT REALLY DRIVES BITCOIN. Can't agree on that ;)
What drives the Bitcoin price!
I think factors like interest rates and the halvening also drive Bitcoin, and those would imply a more bullish scenario, at least in a 3-4 month timeframe.
Cryptalion
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For me at this moment this is less likely scenario!
karolstepnikowski
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It's very bearish according to you, lets see what happens...