COINBASE:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
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Overall, we remain bullish for BTC long-term (fundamentally) and fairly bearish for the coming 2 months ahead. As we’ve mentioned multiple times, a healthy correction is necessary for BTC to make an ATH. For the shorter-term trading, we are eyeing long opportunities at the bottom of the channel.

Weekly:
1. Repeating July to September 2019 downward channel development (many triangle upward break out voice back then as well)
2. RSI kept rejecting bear range resistance (around 60)

Daily:
1. Failing EMAs, and lack of strength. (In a bullish trend , price often rejects EMA fairly quickly)
2. Downward channel
3. RSI's in a bearish trend beneath its MAs and key resistance

4HR:
1. RSI hidden bearish divergence forming
2. BTC RSI has a habit of visiting below 30-35 range twice – wait for bullish divergence for the long side

Major drops / rises are profitable for whales. If retails are on the same side, there are more traders splitting the profit, and the profit taking will also hinder further price move to trigger liquidations. Why we often see bull/bear traps before major price moves is because these are effective methods to shake out “profit-splitters”. As a result, a major drop is likely to be initiated from around 9.4k rather than the current price level. And if we go to the downside from here, the price is likely to be range bound again for the coming week.

Are you bullish or bearish on BTC? Do you agree with our analysis? All thoughts and critics are welcomed!

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Comment: Why we think institutional accumulation does not mean BTC breaking out of the current resistances to the upside.
Comment: short entry moved up to 9.5k-9.6k. Short sentiment not lured to upside yet. Another push upward.
Comment: A short-term short is upon us as we are finishing a 5 motive wave structure to the upside.
Comment: Both bullish and bearish Elliot wave counts (zoomed out):

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More on BTC long-term perspectives and August rally ahead:
https://phidelta.substack.com/p/forecast-7-relief-rally
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