BTCUSD What will happen next ?

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
A whale purse sold 10.000 BTC yesterday and the price fell dramatically. You can track his activity here:

However it was expected that something would happen as soon as Bollinger Bands contracted close to each other. We faced with a dump. The price managed to consolidate a little below Fib 0.786 support level and now it is resistance.

Probably it is the most important week in the BTC history as it is going to break the Triangle which was formed due to the largest crypto market crisis.

If BTC price breaks the Triangle down for a very long time we will have BTC price around $5000
If BTC price breaks the Triangle upward it will quickly recovers to the previous heights.

We think it will manage to go upward from the Triangle and there are several reasons for this:
1. Bullish XABCD pattern has just been formed
2. Stoch RSI and MACD confirms possibilities of growth
3. From the yesterday's dump price consolidated and is growing slowly

However there are still some threats:
1. The price is at the edge of the lower Bollinger line. If it breaks down of it then the trend will be descending again.
2. Red line of ichi cloud is above green line which means there is a strong resistance
3. The price is below Fib 0.786 resistance level

If the price manages to break Fib 0.786 resistance level which is around $8350 then we will have ascending movement. Combining it with the Bollinger bands indicator means that the price will move from the lower edge to the upper edge of the channel, hence it will head to $11900. This will break the Triangle upward and bring a new wave of growth.
Mar 19
Trade active: A FOMO candle that was formed during this night increased the price by 1000 the Triangle was broken upward. We recommend to watch price movement till it consolidates there
Mar 19
Comment: Consolidation will be finished after breaking through Fib 0.786 which is around $8350. To reach it there should be significant volume increase
Mar 19
Trade active: Has just broke through Fib 0.786 as we mentioned before the reversal is starting near to the 23th of March
Mar 22
Comment: BTC price perfectly follows our analysis. We expect a small drop which is necessary to consolidate before major run, Stoch RSI is too high and there is not enough volume to break out from ascending wedge pattern.

Our tactics is to wait for a dip and go long.

Put stop losses as high as possible. Trades are risky now.
Mar 23
Comment: An updated version of the forecast, adjusted to the changes

Mar 23
Trade active: From our previous analysis and its updates it was clearly seen that BTC -1.39% went out of the triangle and now is preparing for the next wave of growth. After it was pumped above Fib 0.786 level the price started to consolidate and now it has bounced back from the mentioned Fibonacci level which is now strong support. Nevertheless, uncertainty about BTC -1.39% price movement is going to end only in the beginning of April. Till this moment there are still 2 scenarios:

1. Price continues its bounce and moves higher to the next level around $10 800
2. Volume goes down and bounce stops, the price follows Stoch RSI forecast and moves back to the triangle and decreases till its lower edge around $6 400

Conclusion: BTC -1.39% will obviously grow up and reach new ATH -2.28% in the long term, however in the short term the price may retest 6k level before it starts a new wave of growth
Apr 05
Comment: Retest of 6k level has happened

BTC hasn't not consolidated above $7300 resistance level from our previous analysis. There was a BB contraction and a huge sell volume . The price dramatically went down within several hours. The market is still very risky and unstable. However in the long term BTC will grow to new height, in the short term we should carefully consider each our move.

In a short period of time we expect a small decrease and retest of $7100 resistance level . It seems like it won't be broken and the price will move down again. It is still about time for market to recover and we should wait till the next wave of growth.

Very nice I like it. Still not sure if we are out of the ditch though
SkyRockSignals ChartsOnTime
@ChartsOnTime, it still follows the analysis, however we forgot to post update about a slight consolidation and decrease, but we did it in our channel. Now you can see it here too, thanks for your comment
ChartsOnTime SkyRockSignals
On par! BTC Breakout above Ichimoku support area beginning end of March. Here is my 4 year analysis of 1D Ichimoku cloud resistance/support areas.
@Tin.Foil, you got a very close timeframe where the trend should reverse, good job
+1 Reply
In a log scale, the 7300 target price break the historical uptrend line
@caimano, The same is here 7300 will break the triangle downwards
Excellent TA
SkyRockSignals ultranemesys
@ultranemesys, Thanks