Auguraltrader

Days after Crypto crash - the Bitcoin story

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
IF you did not see the crypto crash of yesterday coming, do review it... it was forming within two days, and within a day, it flashed across the first wave. Now, a second wave is in effect... for a lower low. Watch and plan for the next move, look and anaylyze to project what to do next... it will help when the time comes.

From the daily BTCUSD chart, you can see marked out cyan dotted lines and purple dashed lines. These represent the points where the Relative Price Momentum (RPM) indicator crosses the zero line... cyan for crossing UP and purple for crossing DOWN.

The chart and the correlation speaks for itself.

The last "crash" and pushing for a lower low is telling of a start of a retracement. And this retracement looks to be deep and fast. Technically, analysis is very challenging but expecting a deep retracement over the next weeks to about 35K, pausing around 40K for a bit. A deeper correction may bring price down to 24K, which is not surprising at all for Bitcoin / BTCUSD .

Currently, the RPM is pointing downwards, so it looks like it is working down, or at best consolidating over a large range (to be defined).

Plan well, execute as needed in the future...

God bless.

Comments

Wow, you are really "batting 1000"! I have been waiting for this upcoming correction as an opportunity to buy some. I just wonder if I'll be trying to catch a falling knife?
Reply
Good day @dg78,
I think regardless, we need to prepare...
and my way is drawing lines, projecting technically, and when it happens, execute plan, according to H0 or H1 (statistical hypotheses).

This correction was in the making with all the pumping, particularly with Tesla and Musk, and the media coverage. It is very like 2017, except that the narratives are slightly different.
Jan 11 was also a significant date, and the 20% correction being overwritten also tells me that it is not over.
Statistically, reversion to mean is in play as well.

Given all these factors, even if it is a falling knife, few choices we have...
pick it after it stops bouncing off the floor;
catch it after some falling time; or
catch it near where we think the floor might be.
These according to ascending risk levels.

Crypto market is an animal of its own, a legendary animal made real.
Technical analysis is a more challenging here than any where else, really... so we need to treat this as it really is.

Thanks for the comment, I do appreciate it.
Have a great day ahead!

All the best!
Reply
Good job!
Reply
Auguraltrader ForecastCity_World
Thank you @ForecastCity_World, appreciate it
Reply
Home Stock Screener Forex Screener Crypto Screener Economic Calendar About Chart Features Pricing Refer a friend House Rules Help Center Website & Broker Solutions Widgets Charting Solutions Lightweight Charting Library Blog & News Twitter
Profile Profile Settings Account and Billing Referred friends Coins My Support Tickets Help Center Private Messages Chat Sign Out