Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is headed towards a 1D MA200 rejection, which as mentioned is what historically kickstarts Phase 2 of the Bear Cycle.
This excellent indicator that illustrates not only the Halving events but also the most optimal Sell and Buy levels based on the Fibonacci Time extension levels shows that the next point of interest is the 4.618 Fibonacci Time extension on the final week of September 2026, where the Cycle is expected to bottom.
With the next Halving estimated in April 2028, we will still be far from the start of the Profit Taking Zone (green vertical layers), which historically starts taking place around 38 weeks (266 days) after the Halving, but the 4.618 Time Fib its technically ideal for long-term buying again. Based on this model the price should be at least at $60000 by that time.
We also see that the price didn't even reach the orange Rainbow Wave on this Bull Cycle, confirming the Law of Diminishing Returns. But the timing of the Fibonacci Time extensions, as we first did more than 7 years ago, worked again to perfection. And this is why on this market (and as a matter of fact on most of them), it is more important to plan buying and selling based on time rather than absolute prices.
So are you expecting this Bear Cycle to have ended by October 2026 and will it reach at least $60000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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This excellent indicator that illustrates not only the Halving events but also the most optimal Sell and Buy levels based on the Fibonacci Time extension levels shows that the next point of interest is the 4.618 Fibonacci Time extension on the final week of September 2026, where the Cycle is expected to bottom.
With the next Halving estimated in April 2028, we will still be far from the start of the Profit Taking Zone (green vertical layers), which historically starts taking place around 38 weeks (266 days) after the Halving, but the 4.618 Time Fib its technically ideal for long-term buying again. Based on this model the price should be at least at $60000 by that time.
We also see that the price didn't even reach the orange Rainbow Wave on this Bull Cycle, confirming the Law of Diminishing Returns. But the timing of the Fibonacci Time extensions, as we first did more than 7 years ago, worked again to perfection. And this is why on this market (and as a matter of fact on most of them), it is more important to plan buying and selling based on time rather than absolute prices.
So are you expecting this Bear Cycle to have ended by October 2026 and will it reach at least $60000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
---
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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Crypto execution for my setups (perps & cross-chain swaps) 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/Defi.app
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Trade Forex directly from TradingView with fixed spreads & zero commissions via TradeNation (broker I use) 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/TradeNation
Crypto execution for my setups (perps & cross-chain swaps) 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/Defi.app
Crypto execution for my setups (perps & cross-chain swaps) 👉 tradingshot.short.gy/Defi.app
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.