Now i have also drawn that black , which seems to be very important as well. Because the red AND the black line, seem to be the reason to why Bitcoin is still holding it's ground here around 6800. So i think there are 2 scenario's here.
1) , we stay below the 6950ish and we make a drop towards 6500/6400. This version, could mean the blue line channel could play out.
2) We break up from the but make a lower high below that small , so a max of around 6950. If this plays out and we drop towards the 6400ish, i don't think that channel will give the bulls any real support. So in other words, if this version plays out, big chance we break 6400 and we drop much more.
Think if we break the 7050ish, in theory we could drop again if that blue line channel doesn't break, but i would guess that it's only a formality to break the channel if 7050ish would break.
So still a lot that can happen at this point, because i still believe we are doing a top formation here past 3 weeks, but it's difficult to know when it will end. For the bears it's very important to see a significant drop with high . So would say the bears need a 500/600 point drop withing a few hours or so. Because anything much smaller and same as past weeks, can easily again turn into a bear trap.
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So scenario 2 might be in play here, unless that parabolic shape breaks. It really does look to be legit. As you can see it took 60 point drop, below parabolic line and out of nowhere it got pushed up 140 points both within 2 min. So to me it says there is like a fight going on. Or the whales are not done distributing (or if i am wrong, accumulating).
By the way, above in scenario 2 i say: "so a max of around 6950", that has to be 7050
Think the parabolic shape on the left is something to keep a close eye one, because things could turn around completely if that breaks. Until then, this are and up to 7050ish, is all noise/neutral to me.
Stock market was dumping yesterday, Bitcoin held it's ground very well. Now stock market has been moving up, Bitcoin has followed. So that is becoming less useful as well, since it's becoming random now.
The longer it takes for the market to drop again coming hours/days, think momentum might be shifting towards the bulls again
The parabolic shape is maybe the Key thing to watch now. Many times they eventually break and we see a move to the other side. But, lets say like 30% of the times, we see it break, but see sideways movement. If that would happen, would mean bulls are prob in full control. Looks as if the low is around 7000ish at the moment, but the more time passes, the higher that level becomes.
So far no immediate rejection, so bulls are strong now it seems.
As you can see in the left, that channel resistance line could stop the rally around 7200ish, but would be a third test, so don’t know it that will happen. Think as long as we don’t see an immediate rejection from the bears, have to assume bulls are in control.
So maybe even that line on the right, might be the last option bears have left. Because if 7200ish breaks and we break out of that channel, my whole bearish view is probably ready to get flushed through the toilet