ChartArt
Long

Predicting the next Bitcoin bubble with Fibonacci time zones

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / Dollar
Using Fibonacci time zones it is possible that the peak of the next Bitcoin bubble might occur after Fall 2014 and before Spring of 2015. The Gann fan shows that in order to make this forecast come true the price needs to start increasing by November 2014.

"Fibonacci Time Zones are vertical lines based on the Fibonacci Sequence. These lines extend along the X axis (date axis) as a mechanism to forecast reversals based on elapsed time. A major low or high is often chosen as the starting point. Distances start relatively small and grow as the Fibonacci Sequence extends. Chartists can extend the Fibonacci Time Zones into the future to anticipate potential reversal points."
http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:fibonacci_time_zones

The red line is the cumulative Elastic Volume Weighted Moving Average (eVWMA). Which is "a statistical measure using the volume to define the period of the moving average . The eVWMA can be looked at as an approximation to the average price paid per Bitcoin . It can be approximated using cumulative sum of volume (...)"
Elastic Volume Weighted Moving Average & Envelope [LazyBear]


No1
2 years ago
I love bubble charts :D
+1 Reply
ChartArt
2 years ago
Derivative Oscillator (with my forecast)

snapshot
+1 Reply
ChartArt
2 years ago
DMI Stochastic Extreme (custom setting: 50,50,50)

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DMI Stochastic Extreme (default setting: 10,1,3)

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ChartArt ChartArt
2 years ago
actually the default is (10,3,3) but it doesn't change the monthly chart
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MoonTrader
2 years ago
You mean the price needs to start increasing BY Nov 13, right? Not nitpicking, just making sure.
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ChartArt MoonTrader
2 years ago
Yes, that is what I wanted to say. Thanks for pointing this out. I'm not a native speaker.
Reply
MoonTrader ChartArt
2 years ago
Oh, I see. That's very cool 'cause I happen to be an English teacher. You seem like you speak fine, though, so good job. :)
+1 Reply
ChartArt MoonTrader
2 years ago
:D
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ChartArt
2 years ago
--- Update 28 days later - October 1st, 2014 ---

We are now for the first time below the Elastic Volume Weighted Moving Average (red line). This can't be good:

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AndrewGrennan ChartArt
2 years ago
I notice half way through your second fib time zone, downward red, the price begins to climb again. I noticed the wick gets close to touching the 3/1 as our candle is close to touching the 4/1 now. It looks like we're roughly at the equivalent point in time in proportion to our current fib time zone. If we pull above the EVWMA by the next weekly candle, I think we'll be okay. If not, I don't know.
+1 Reply
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