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DrDovetail
Jul 17, 2019 12:59 AM

Possibility of a doubletop in play; if triggered 6k target. 

Bitcoin / United States DollarCoinbase

Description

a large price dump that was instigated by a 3hr chart deathcross has us now potentially about to break down from what looks like a double top on the 1 day chart...price action is currently below the neckline and is right now trying to retest that neckline...if the retest is rejected then odds are good we will break down from the double top and retest the 1 day 200ma down at 6k. However I wouldn't be sure of a rejection until at least 1-2 1day confirmation candles + bearish volume surge to go with it...we are also currently testing the breakdown of a 1hr bear flag pattern which could dip to 8.6k. If we go to 8.6k odds are very good we will be filling the 8.5k gap from the CME futures chart....whether or not we'd reach the full dip target of the double top of 6k is uncertain considering there is also the famous "golden pocket" on the fib retracement right at 7.2 which we also had a small gap on on the cme futures charts....so dipping to the 7.2k zone would fill the final gap below us and reach that always magical bounce level of 61.8%. We can see the 8.5 level also hits a very significant fib line as well as it has confluence with the 50% retracement line. So we may see bounces at both of these zones or support for candle closes. However 6k is also a possibility because of the double top which also has confluence being double reinforced support with the 1 day charts 200ma which should provide solid support. My move is going to be to wait for price action to retest the yellow neckline of the double bottom and if the daily candles confirm solidified resistance I'm then going to short and ladder out portions at a time at a couple pips above 8.6, 8.5, 7.2, and 6.1k respectively...until I get the confirmation of resistance/rejection at the neckline however I remain neutral for now...with slight bias temporarily to the downside. During this downtrend we may see some altcoins make gains against btc such as xrp. I also believe that when this correction is over the next leg up bitcoin will be taking alt coins with it and they may even lead the 2nd leg up. I think the next temporary leg down on btc will coincide with a 4day deathcross and the next significant longterm leg up will coincide with a 3 day golden cross.
Comments
Bullandbeartrading
Good indicators buddy !
DrDovetail
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