TerryKinder

Bitcoin $550: The Maginot Line Part 1 of 2

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / Dollar
Bitcoin $550: The Maginot Line?

Recently there has been quite a bit of analysis of the Bitcoin price and support in the $550 to $560 or so range. While on the one hand, there indeed has been some support there, I'm wondering if that level hasn't transformed into the equivalent of the Maginot Line (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maginot_Line) - something that appears to be a strong line, when in fact it may not be.

This chart consists of the following elements:

1. A large green symmetrical triangle;
2. A blue triangle;
3. A black symmetrical triangle;
4. An Andrews' Pitchfork ;
5. Several black horizontal support/resistance lines

First off, to be clear, the symmetrical triangles presented on this chart aren't meant to be ideal examples that can be traded off of such as could be found on Bulkowski's The Pattern Site (Recently there has been quite a bit of analysis of the Bitcoin price and support in the $550 to $560 or so range. While on the one hand, there indeed has been some support there, I'm wondering if that level hasn't transformed into the equivalent of the Maginot Line (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maginot_Line) - something that appears to be a strong line, when in fact it may not be.

This chart consists of the following elements:

1. A large green symmetrical triangle;
2. A blue triangle;
3. A black symmetrical triangle;
4. An Andrews' Pitchfork ;
5. Several black horizontal support/resistance lines

First off, these symmetrical triangle aren't meant to be ideal ones that can be traded off of such as would appear on Bulkowski's The Pattern Site (http://thepatternsite.com/st.html).

Instead they are used to look at the price direction and to try and determine through questioning, logic and reason which direction price might head, and whether it is more reasonable to expect that price will break higher through resistance, or break down lower through support...or perhaps neither.

So, if we first look at the large green symmetrical triangle you'll notice that price has spent a good deal of time within the pattern below the $683.26 level. That price has proven difficult to rise above, presenting pretty significant resistance back in March and again in June.

Next we'll look at the blue triangle. It is formed by the price trigger of the Andrews' Pitchfork and a support line. It is notable in that price currently rests at or on support and in its failure to breach the top of the triangle after several attempts.

(See part two here: https://www.tradingview.com/v/MrSObF4V/)
norok PRO
2 years ago
My indicators tell me the same thing. The bottom of the Ichimoku cloud on the Daily is there. Also, if you look at price in a classic double top formation that level is the neckline.
Reply
IvanLabrie PRO
2 years ago
One thing to add is time spent at price, great statistical measure I use...in this case, little time spent at 550-560, so it's a level that rejects price, either up or down.
Now that it's been breached and the last big time spent at price level at the 430 area has fallen, we have to fall to 117.
Reply
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