Here i see few intresting intermediate moves, i think we cant break upside right now, just because not enough bulls trapped yet. Too many ppls also longing on okc , thats cant cause rise
So, im waiting for trap first before i can go long.
About downtrend move - modelation succesfully was tested on spring and summer downtrend, i think its resonable to wait panic again. Here also pretty low liquidity, if bulls wants stay at 300+ forever - we should have VERY strong orderbook.
Notice also 270 range is too dangerous, below 270 could be flash-crash as in summer, watchout