EDIT: I drew the C wave around 200 because according to , C wave is always at least the same length (or more) as wave A. However, that is just a guideline, and not a hardcore RULE. I do expect us to *at least* fall to where the A wave was $450.
Edit 2: As some others have pointed out, I may have had my count wrong. The (V) may be only a ( III ), however it would not change the outcome. There still needs to be an ABC correction to (IV). Here is an image
Your last chart is also a fair expectation. we haven't been near that trend line in a year. It is time to retest it for confirmation. It would allow for the retest of many levels that have not had a test since it was passed. These retests are essential to build confidence and confirm sustainability in these prices.