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meatman00
May 23, 2018 2:40 AM

A problem with Bitcoin - Retail Buyers have lost interest Short

Bitcoin / United States DollarCoinbase

Description

Looking at the BTCUSD chart on Coinbase where most of the retail buyers purchase their Bitcoin. A few things become quite clear:

1) Huge volume near the all time highs. The huge surge in interest and popularity resulted in retail buys of Bitcoin at inflated prices. If you look at other charts from more professional trading exchanges the volume is much lower.

2) After price topped at 20k retail buyers were spooked and volume dropped significantly.

3) When prices went back to +10k retail buyers stepped back in to sell their expensive Bitcoin.

4) Volume from Coinbase has been rapidly declining as the general interest in Crypto declines.

It seems to me that we are left with the same money buying and selling, eventually the price will have to settle down (probably much lower than it currently is) and volatility will reduce.

My thoughts are that retail buyers and institutional investors will only enter back into Crypto once volatility significantly reduces and price settles. This process may take another 3-6 months. We may be in for a few legs lower in price action before that happens.

Comments
TheLuckyNoob
Interesting thought but IMO, that theory assumes most retail sources even knew what bitcoin was, let alone crypto before New Years Eve times.

Retail/private investing, commodities, gold, energy, oil, etc, been around for years and still thriving. Skem
Volitile some not. Yes, volatility will reduce over time but it’s still the Wild West right now.

I don’t know if CB volume is declining but if so, could be due (in part) to:

1) investors learning about other excganges. Possibly more advantages exchanges (i.e., more than 4 coins and reduced fees).
2) some recent poor media attention (true or not)
3) based on recent media coverage, CB appears to be focusing more on institutional type investing.
4) pretty sure they made more than a BILLION in profit last year

It’s a regular market correction is all. Up until weeks ago, and even today, lots of older money think crypto is a pyramid scheme still. So once mindset changes this will skyrocket, hopefully anyway and sooner than 6 months. And so maybe ur timeline is correct, but retail has nothing to do with it. No offense just my point of view.
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