Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
In today's analysis, we take a look at Bitcoin over Decembers from the past. Which direction does the price usually go, bullish or bearish ? It's no surprise that it seems to be a near equal amount of months up vs. down. Over the 11 months observed, we notice 6 green Decembers and 5 red Decembers. This makes probability near equal. However, we could take a look at a few other interesting observations:
💭 Highest increase for Bitcoin was +58.92% when the lowest decline was only -33.15%
💭 More often than not, two months of the same color follow
💭 The biggest yearly increase was during December 2012 - December 2013 with a whopping yearly increase of 9,899.19%
💭 The second biggest increase after that was from Dec 2016 - Dec 2017 with +2,681.15%
💭 The biggest yearly decline was from December 2017 - December 2018 with BTCUSD losing -84%
The crypto winter that started in December 2018 was one of the worst yet... But with the industry under pressure, could this year be the new record? IF BTCUSDT were to drop to $11 000, that would be a -81% decline from last December.
From all the above... Which way do you think the price will go during December 2022 ?
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👎👎👎 to 8600-8700 with flash crash wicks down to 5-6k. And that's with both Russian war and China turmoil both behaving good. If those two fell apart then who knows where the bottom could land. We could all be buying BTC at well under 1k.
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@cryptospawn those are all important things to consider! Thanks.