thehoplite
Short

Your Favorite Bear Report

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
Volume Oscillation - paradigm shift on the belief. The attitude is gone. The Bull is in question and the traders are in waiting. Everyone is either looking for a deal to take this thing higher or they're looking for confirmation to get the hell out. We've dipped in volume to levels not seen since the start of the rally.

RSI - Doesn't matter. Relative strength is uh.. No one cares.If price propagates around current levels for some time, the index could normalize and that'll give us relative room to go higher. If we do see a drop , the index will bottom out more suddenly and give us a new consolidation level fairly close to the current price. We're not going back down to $7,000 overnight. We'll likely test 10,500 and even 8,800 on the way down.

There's really nothing else to make of the patterns other than we're clearly consolidating to make a decision from there. From what I've seen, you have got to be cautious on the way down. Short positions notoriously get knocked out when bitcoin gets to these longer termed consolidations. It'll throw up $500 increase on you before simmering back down to confirm an appropriate time to short. Don't just look for the price to leave the 'wedge' beneath the bottom portion of the triangle. Look for some volume and distance away from the dogpile.
Comment: Keep in mind, now, that the tops and bottoms are opening up. As time has moved us forward, this projection has made a great place for price to propagate around.
I have no convictions as it sits, but there’s a great likelihood it will tour down to the precious bounce. If there’s no interaction and it continues south, the price may play with us a little while before taking down further. Once confirmed, I would anticipate the previous bounce to make for the next resistance level.

Comments

Pretty spot on at the moment.
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Looking back at this, great job!
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Update sir?
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Simple and accurate, great job!
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Possible, I want to see maybe will be in fractal
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Your were right it was going down but that was a no brainer and your bouncea are way off lol
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thehoplite Michele1970
@Michele1970, given that this is calibrated on information available from 10 days ago and prior, this was surprisingly close. Today would have been an impossible judgement call with any sort of precision given all the historical volatility with BTC that can be experienced in such a very short time.
2 days ago, it did bounce on 10,5 and it broke completely through the following day from a higher price point at 10,6.

+1 Reply
Xivos Michele1970
@Michele1970, Look again
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Yep agreed
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All the best, good setup! Leave us a like as well mate
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