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ChartRage
Feb 28, 2024 5:57 PM

BTC Phase 4 Resistance Short

Bitcoin all time history indexINDEX

Description

BTC is currently testing the All time High.
Will BTC just plough through the resistance because of the ETF's or is there any other scenario possible? There is an interesting correlation and there are also key differences between the 2017 Bull Market Cycle and the current timeframe if we analyse the weekly and monthly timeframe.



Historic Cycle 2017

As BTC went through the previous resistance zones in 2017 the pattern was identical until phase 3. Back then there was heavy resistance and we had a correction to the highs of phase 2, before continuing higher.


Current Cycle 2024

In this current cycle we have not had a healthy correction to the highs of phase 2, instead prices continued to climb higher. The resistance zone for phase 3 in both cases was almost identical at around 40% under the previous All time High. As we approach the resistance of phase 4, are pricing continuing to climb higher?




Historic 86 Level Resistance

In 2017 we got rejected at phase 4 when the RSI reached the 86 Level on the Weekly timeframe.



Current 86 Level Resistance

Currently we are at the same level on the RSI. We think it is very likely that next month BTC get's rejected and we enter a correction.



Swift moves to the upside for a long periods of time are a warning sign for any asset. If BTC doesn't have solid corrections we could have a shorter bull market then expected.
Comments
panvita
This is an interresting perspective. I am trying to find a new entry point for BTC. If a correction would happen are you gonna post possible entry points?
ChartRage
@panvita, Yes just follow the idea or our profile to stay up to date.
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