On the top side of it, you can see that we had two reactions between February and March of 2018. On the bottom side, we had three clear reactions between then now as well. Additionally, there were several reactions on the center line of the , all throughout the bear market. So, this is most definitely a .
This is beautiful, because it helps us make a little more sense of what has been going on, and it puts more perspective on where we may be heading.
As you can see, we have poked up above the top of the . However, BTC has been struggling to stay above it, and we are currently retesting the top of it at this very moment. So, if BTC fails to hold the top of this big , then we will obviously head back inside of it. However, it BTC holds the top of the channel, and breaks out to the upside, then the price target would be at about 14000. That number is easily found by taking the width of the channel, and adding it to the breakout point, which puts price right around 14000.
The main problem, is the NVT sell signal that has been building, as well as the divergence from the log chart's regression line, and the extremely overbought index. Those are all things that I discussed in my previous BTC analysis, as reasons for why I am not a believer in the bull market yet. However, if we see a successful breakout above this channel, I will be a believer. On the other hand, if we fail here, I will maintain my view that BTC is still in a transition phase, and that the bull market has not yet started.
I do think there is a higher probability that BTC will get rejected here, and fall deeper into the , particularly because of the NVT , , and log regression issues. Nevertheless, I will let BTC show me the forward path I should take, as I closely monitor the price action around the top of this extremely important .
I'm The Master of The Charts, The Professor, The Legend, The King, and I go by the name of Magic! revoir.
***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.***
That's what you get for just randomly drawing channels and trendlines wherever you like.
(let alone "proving" a channel .. you can random draw channels everywhere, there will ALWAYS be some points hitting those lines you could user as "proof")