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akoetraolrkhoecrxhifbyf
Nov 7, 2018 3:31 PM

Beating Bitcoin buy and hold: 2600% 

Bitcoin / DollarBitfinex

Description

* Active strategy vs. passive buy-and-hold (light blue line in backtest plot below).
* Includes Bitfinex fees (0.1%).
* Backtest plot is from 2017-01-03 until today.
* It is possible to reduce the drawdown by adjusting position size strategy and/or other parameters -- to get a smoother equity curve.
* No indicator or entry "repainting" is being done here; this is a common problem with some strategies here on TV.
* Send me a message if you're interested in development of automated trading of this and/or other strategies!

Works on other assets too!

Comment

You have to click the "Buy & Hold Equity" button below to see the comparison between this strategy and simply buying and holding Bitcoin.

Comment

By using windowed kelly% to control order size, this strategy is much better in my own tests. It is not possible to do this in PineScript though.
Comments
joper35
you would be millionaire if this worked and dont be selling it. Simple logic
akoetraolrkhoecrxhifbyf
@joper35, that's why it's not for sale
akoetraolrkhoecrxhifbyf
By using windowed kelly% to control order size, this strategy is much better in my own tests. It is not possible to do this in PineScript though.
akoetraolrkhoecrxhifbyf
Switching to limit orders and running this on Mex is possible; i.e. most orders end up filled. The fees are negative(!) there.
akoetraolrkhoecrxhifbyf
Click "Buy % Hold Equity" to compare the strategy with simply buying and holding Bitcoin!
laanarot
@lnostdal, Hi very interesting. is it an indicator?
akoetraolrkhoecrxhifbyf
@laanarot, Hi, this script is a strategy. It uses momentum which in turn is built on ALMA here.
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