Taking a look at the weekly chart, major support areas are at 400. Multiple crashes (strong ones) bounced here. I expect at least a light bounce before retesting 400 again.
In bigger scheme of things, price is . This is the 4 or 5th time we retested this zone. BFXdata shows that there are still a lot of people holding USD swaps at 20 million during this crash. Is there going to be a margin-call style sell-off to come? swaps are already reduced, short term traders have already covered their position.
I personally made a few trades this week, a long trade that was too costly, a short at 403 that made a small profit and I am now long at 391. I try to post my trades on reddit/twitter as soon as I can. I went long for a small bounce into the 420 area, look at the weekly chart, the first blue line. Its very likely we will hit that target at least because those are major areas in the past.
My costly long trade: http://ibankbitcoins.com/btc/bitcoin-update-and-trade-analysis-9182014
For those who are bagholding that are not investors, here is a quote I find very inspiring and educational for my trading.
"When the market goes against you, you hope that every day will be the last day – and you lose more than you should had you not listened to hope. And when the market goes your way, you become fearful that the next day will take away your profit and you get out – too soon. The successful trader has to fight these two deep-seated instincts." J.Livermore
I hope you all have a great weekend.
I do live trades and market analysis daily. Follow me on my trading blog and twitter: ibankbitcoins.com, http://www.twitter.com/ibankbitcoins