WBM_Team

BTC – let’s figure out this puzzle – 3 possible scenarios

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
Hi dear Traders and Hodlers!

Everyone is wondering whether it is now or not. But what? Crypto and bitcoin rally! :)

So we think the market, although is very low, is stable right now and we shouldn’t go any lower than $5800 - $6000 as marked on the chart as a “Massive support”. This will be the lowest so don’t worry.

We can see 3 possible scenarios.
1. We will fall as low as TenkanSen and MA21 level which is at around $6460. We bounce off and reverse towards the north. This is the best what can happen right now. We may expect some positive news from the market (SEC and so on). But this is unpredictable. Time will tell. Soon. Very soon.
2. We break TenkanSen and go towards micro support (green line) to stop there and bounce off. This is pretty likely as this support was created two weeks ago and seems to be still in force.
3. The worst scenario is that we break both TenkanSen and our micro support and we land again on so-called Massive Support which is at level $5800 - $6000.
Why we won’t go below $5800 - $6000? Check out our previous fundamental analysis “We will tell you why BTC won’t go lower than $5800”. It is down below.

Moreover, when looking on the Weis Volume indicator we can clearly see there is no interest on trading Btc . There is no supply nor demand. We think everyone is waiting for what is going to happen. They need incentive – good trade from whales or positive info from the market which will ignite the rally.
Look on the Sentiment Zone Oscillators. They look similar but they are not the same. First calculates Volume Weighted Exponential Moving Average from the input. The second calculates Exponential Moving Average and the third one calculates just Moving Average. We can expect to have even lower values. We haven’t achieved buying level yet and we already passed selling point which is the top of the indicator chart. One is sure we have a micro downtrend right now.

Still, 3 before mentioned scenarios are in force.
Which one will actually happen? What are your calculations and opinions?
Please do share with us in the comment section.
Thank you for contributing and being here. You are great!

HUGE Hugs!
WBM Team
Comment: Sentiment Zone Oscillators
Comment: *correction micro support since 7th of September - mistake on the chart
Comment: Scenario 2 comes into force. We touched our micro support (green line). Will we break it? Will we bounce off the support?https://www.
Comment: Will we drop as low as $6000
Comment: Guys we still on the micro support line. Stay cool. Wait. Don't be hectic.
Comment: Actually, this massive support is present since mid November 2017. Bear that in mind.
Comment: Good news is that we defended our micro support at $6400 and the new ultra-micro support was created. This might be a good omen. We got stuck between TenkanSen and Zero Lag EMA. Let's wait till we cross for good.
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Related Ideas

Hi I spent a lot of time looking at the data and this in Long View Conclusion. There are a lot of details explaining why this in all probability can't be the the bottom.
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