BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar

I love to boil things down to an essence.

Everytime BTC broke through one of the white support lines, it took an average of 6-7 days to achieve a new spike low.
Thus I expect BTC to retest 5.8k$ in the course of the next week, forming a double bottom .

Stoch RSI is moving within the oversold range, so a bounce from there is not to be excluded.

Anyways, I don't expect 5,8K$ to be the bottom everyone is talking about.

During the 2k13/2k14 drop , we witnessed an overall retracement of around 85%, which in this case ,would bring us to the 2-3k range.
Thus we might bounce from 5.800$, attempting to break through the longterm resistance formed since December, failing, and have a capitulation taking place.

When it comes to trading and investing, market cycles matter big time.
They are not to be neglected, because they always repeat themselves, whether you like it or not.
Greed and optimism is always followed by fear, depression and capitulation.
Same goes the other way round.

As a good investor, you want to become greedy when everyone is being fearful.
You want to be fearful, take partial profits, when everyone becomes greedy.

For the majority of people, capitulation is related with huge losses.
For the smart investor, it is related with maximal financial oppotunity, because capitulation is where a new, positive, market cycle begins.

Have a great day!

Mar 31
Comment: Bear Flag forming.
Support level at around 6600$ needs to be watched.

Mar 31
Comment: STOCH RSI on 4h Chart is oversold.

Mar 31
Comment: *overbought of course*
Apr 01
Comment: 6,6k$ support about to be broken.
Once this happens, 5,8k is inevitable.

Apr 01
Trade active: Just broke through support.
Waiting for the hourly close.
If we close below Support, I'm going to add to my short Position.
Apr 01
Comment: Had a very unexpected bounce at around 6,4k$
No reason to be bullish at all.
Probably going to test 21 Moving Average as resistance.
Should watch for 7.000$-7100$, as a key resistance level, going to add short positions around that level.

Apr 01
Comment: Here's what happened at 26 March.
Pretty similar to be quite honest with you.

Apr 01
Comment: Bearish Divergence on the 5 Min Chart, expecting a nasty drop soon.

Apr 01
Comment: We are currently moving up.
Short term key levels/resistances to watch and expect a drop:

1. 7.000$
2. 7.200$

Apr 02
Comment: There are no guarantees when it comes to trading and investing.
Anyways, I'm still very confident, that BTC will reach the afore mentioned price levels.

Bearish Divergence is forming on the 4H Chart.

Apr 03
Comment: New Trading Idea:

Apr 04
Comment: Check out my new idea:

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