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MiserableToppings
Feb 7, 2023 3:24 AM

Ascending broadening top formation? Short

Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBitstamp

Description

After an aggressive 48% move up from 30 Dec, would be wild to not see mid-January range be support-tested before any trend continuation takes place.
Past two weeks BTC has been choppy, while NDX made new highs. The break from correlated moves indicates BTC over-extended and has stalled.
However, this does not necessarily indicate BTC is weak. If indices push higher while the dollar continues lower (and the bounce to 103.8 is just a retracement), we could see another explosive move as BTC price action catches up.

Comment

Log, 1W. A break out here is very bullish (24-25k)

Comment

DXY, 1D
Strong move into resistance. Break above the yellow rectangle, DXY could see 105.6
However, the downward channel is not out of play, and we see a bearish (trend continuation) hidden divergence on the RSI

Comment

Lastly, I'd like to point out the decrease in volume over this range, while the price has wicked off slightly higher highs. Chart below is from Coinbase, but we see similar across other exchanges. Interestingly, aggregate Open Interest has continued to creep up over this same period. Funding rate has remained net bullish since 19 December.

Comment

possible setup.


This is not trading advice.
Comments
Tradersweekly
Bullish momentum is slowing down significantly. But you are right. With low volume, we can still see one more push higher. Thank you for sharing.
MiserableToppings
@Tradersweekly, Yeah, I actually had to close my shorts today. Too much risk
TradingShot
Thank you for sharing your opinion with us. Below you can see ours. Hope it makes a constructive conversation:
MiserableToppings
@TradingShot, closed my shorts
MiserableToppings
@TradingShot, should not have doubted myself lol. I accrued those shorts over two weeks and bailed 2 days before price plummeted X'D
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