TradingView
UnknownUnicorn1540828
Oct 21, 2018 3:48 PM

BTCUSD : weekly megapost proposed scenario 18/10/21 

Bitcoin / DollarBitfinex

Description

Hi guys,

So to following of anterior projection, still valid, precise and exact :



On coinbase less volatility conducted on the lateral extension of the trend line but the behavior remained the same. we bounced a little :



We indeed bounced near target zone on past resistance now became support on BFX.

___________________________

We had huge volume on the projected end of correction

Macro are still bullish and very healthy. HL on daily MACD :


Weekly still keeping his bullish crossover :


If we indeed bounce on white line support i might go long on everything

________________

Short term :



Im looking for an ABC or a linking pattern that will make the transition before bigger pattern. To remain valid the wave C must reach A price levels and must be made of 5 wave
_______________

Still same major and macro target zone. still behaving like i project. Consistency is the key. Better read and understand this before i update this scenario to not loose key element with further updates. I expect a raise in volatility.

Trade active

Im looking for a stop (C wave completed) at 6520-6540 price zone on BFX chart. not playing this. Watching.

Trade active

great ! this is the kind of structure I want to see for a C wave of an expanded flat ! :

Trade active

last 5th ! Remember i said * Im looking for an ABC or a linking pattern that will make the transition before bigger pattern. To remain valid the wave C must reach A price levels and must be made of 5 wave* & *(C wave completed) at 6520-6540* :



This is exactly what we have here.

Trade active

C reached ? need to take micro time frame chart :



Would work with fibonnaci ratio and elliot rules about running flat :

• Wave C = 61.8% – 100% of wave AB

Trade closed: target reached

short term target reached 6520-6540 zone. ended at 6535 :

Trade active

So the bounce is still shy (Im using coinbase chart this time). Compare this present MACD with the one in the original post. I said that the optimal form for MACD was a double bottom on 4H :



Its look like an ABCDE but I just want us to focus on something more simple. we must keep the double bottom AND the trend line. Both goes together. I dont reject a retest at the lower trend but if this retest is not rapidly bought I draw what could possibly happen.

Im stick with bulls for now

Comment

fact is alt chart look all like they are in a major bullish pattern

Comment

Watching it because this is where I might take long positions like I said earlier in this post

Trade active

too much latral extension to be a flat. Not 100% sure about the outcome of this pattern but simply keep an eye on the support. Much easier to position ourselves when unsure. It could be a bearish triangle pattern but the RSI doesnt reflect like it (SHS form should reflect on RSI with triangle pattern) that makes start the count where i start :



On 4h hours chart :

Trade active

daily update:

Again. Projected the good short term move since the beginning of the week. But what lacks my projection is the outcome because right now I dont know how to name it. So I will naviguate with trend and MACD :



Not an easy week for TA but overall succed to project short term move

Trade active

again this move was projected. happened not too long after my update :



now lets watch

Comment

using linear chart. It gives us a bullish triangle when you add the recent impulse to it it makes the count start like this :




if lower support break. We gonna retrace entirely to lower support :

Trade active

still moving as expected. Watch lower support"

Trade closed manually

Comments
Sasquatch_Trader
The breakout looks like a manipulated futures event for sucking in buyers. Seen this happen before with BTC. If the breakout were valid, BTC would be up 20% already.
UnknownUnicorn1540828
@trade_dog_21, price still hold. breakout happened at the end of the 11th swing (WXYXZ). I see nothing manipulated.. You cant make this statement ' If the breakout were valid, BTC would be up 20% already.' since the breakout happened and exist ; it is valid. The only question is if we must consider this part of a major part. I took position at 6180 as i believed it was about to happen.
UnknownUnicorn1540828
@trade_dog_21, the volume spiked up and the end point correlate with alt charts count about the end of a corrective cycle like i said many time since august that we were at the bottom and approching major resistance to test the hypothesis of a new cycle. Many indicators backed the idea of rising volatility in regards of a major resistance test. Manipulation would be something out of the blue and a immediat sell off and full retracement if it would be only to suck up buyers. I tend to monitor indicators, chart pattern and wave. The amplitude of it was unexpected but the situation was expected
More