f-73

A chance for the Bulls ? Let's see.

f-73 Updated   
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
Price is sliding on long term support ( previous resistance ) encompassing ATH and August LH.


It may paint a broadening descending wedge between ( red ) "short term resistance" and descending support.
If so a low may sit anywere between here and 5700$ (circa), as long some bullish reaction comes within 2-4 days.

The macro picture on OBV is quite interesting as well:


Usually price finds its bottom roughly within previous top area .
I see a falling wedge and previous ( double ) top is not that far.

Keep an eye on that.
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Watch out for triangle ( pennant ? ) breakout.
Volume confirmation needed.

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placing a STOP BUY oreder @6350$, just in case ...
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... keeping an eye on that alligator.

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Would like to see an ascending triangle here, so a bit of consolidation would help.


We'll see.
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Rising wedge, inverted hammer on 1H.


Turbulence ahead, watch the wedge.
Tighten your TP
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If you did follow the last advice you should have taken profit already at about the 6500$ mark ( *worst case* ).

We got a short term reversal warning (inverted hammer) as well as a confirmation ( rising wedge break down ).

So, what now ?
Now you'd better be cautious and nimble.

RSI / 1H is suppport is gone, meaning price is likely to consolidate / move sideways for a while.

RSI / 4H may provide the needed support in order to further attack resistance:


Now 6350-6400$ area should prove being resilient enough to sustainm another leg up.

Nothing compromised so far, yet no reason to take unneeded risks for now.
Let's see.
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Looks like we have a broadening descending wedge here.


Unless it breaks its lower *bound* it means consolidation.
Usually this kind of pattern breaks up, so be prepared.

Watch for intersection with short term support ( dashed blue ) at price may find some support there.

Keep an eye on RSI / 4H support:

Good luck, gents.
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It broke up already, back in business.


It's early to say, but there's a chance next pattern is an ascending triangle.

Anyway, enough speculation for now.
Ride the rally as you wish, but play *safe* by entering on signals and by using a TP.
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It was indeed an ascending triangle.

Now a word of caution, as current picture is mixed:

As you may see current price action takes place within a rising wedge.

We can see some minor pennant / flag within it, but those candles with long wicks suggest caution. Remember to place your TP/SL accordingly and mind the lower bound(s) of the rising wedge
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Get ready.
MACD / 1H says price is gotta move within 12/24 hours.


Watch for triangle breakout.
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Break down.

Possibility of an opportunistic intraday trade, as long as *6350$* holds.
Long with SL under 6320$ betting on that flag.


Highly risky, no more that 40% success probability imho.
Yet good risk / profit ratio.

Anyway, whatebver you choose to do play safe don't take ANY risk without a SL.
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No luck, further down towards support.
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Let's see whether support holds.


Price may eventually rebound as high as 6350-6400$, but better being much careful.
If you want to try a long short term be sure to put a SL below the recent low and / or support.
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We're in the 6350-6400$ already.
No contact with dynamic support o the dip, which is uncommon.

Price is now painting a bullish flag.


That's encouraging, but at the same time i think there's a high risk of bulltrap here. So remember to protect your trades.
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It's a *very long shot*, but in case the bulls will be able to push the price over 6600$ soon we would have a W bottom here ( Eve / Adam eventually ).

For now it's just speculation, but worth telling ...
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Support tested: failed low, broadening descending wedge ( green ).
Patience now, 6300-6350$ should hold for the bulls to win this round.


Come on, let's do it ...
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OBV / 1D.


Approaching moment of truth.
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Come on, break up please ...

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Broken up.
So far so good.
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Ascending channel.
Mind the edge.

tinyurl.com/y8q94wfd
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Flag broken, bears are trying to pull price down.
Yet we have a falling wedge.

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Dip and rebound.
Now waiting for MACD breakout.


Caution, can be either way.
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Short term picture.
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H&S confirmed.
Now within resistance area.


Lets see what bulls can do here.
Unless price can pierce through 6550$ and 6600$ bears stay in control.

A strong rejection here would mean increased chance of ABC correction ( hence a second leg down ).
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Let's hope in a pennant and / or a reaction on short term support.
6550$ should be pierced or price will fall again.

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Clash of flags, very tricky.
Caution.

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This MACD resistance is tough.


Hopefully bulls will take care of it today.
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Have a nice journey ;)


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Still Awaiting.

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