The breakout will confirm the continuation of the uptrend after reversal from SMA100. It will be a solid signal.
If we look at the indicators, we will see supporting the upward movement. does not provide us interesting signals. As for DMI, it does not confirm the strength of buyers or sellers. It tells us more about sideways movements.
Based on these signals, I think the price can try to break the downtrend. But don't be surprised if it is a false breakout. Buyers are not active, and there are no solid fundamental reasons to move upward. In spite of the potential which the market still has and the based on the weekly chart, the price can bounce from the downtrend line and drops to SMA100 again. The price action in this zone will be important for future market movements. It will be very important to stay above the local swing low in order to develop an upward movement based on the previous reversal. If not, the market will have good chances to reach the formed by SMA200 and 6000.00 support.
How to trade? If you are looking for long term trading, the breakout above the downtrend line will be a possible signal to open long positions. Stop orders should be placed below 6000.00 support. Of course, we can use this signal for investing the part of the money, but not the whole capital. The will be able to provide other trade opportunities, which also should be used for building a good portfolio.
What is your plan for long term trading? Share your ideas in comments, let's discuss.
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This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
but do you have the statistics to support your statement?