I may need to follow up with another video publication comparing multiple time frames between different exchanges.
Commonsense would tell you the exchange (BITFINEX) has no intention of allowing the price to go down a lot and force them to payoff a LOT of margin short positions. They don't have enough capital to pay off those positions. Nor do we see enough margin long contracts to offset the number of short contracts. BITFINEX can easily create a DERIVATIVE of USD out of thin air to keep buying BTC in an effort to accumulate as much BTC and other coins as possible in order to TRY to come up with the funds they capital they are short of to fulfill withdrawal requests. Eventually, they may tire of doing this. They are only digging themselves a deeper hole in my opinion.
The blue or green scenario may end up playing out in similar fashion to 2012 rather than 2015. I’m going to work on a couple of video publications using a couple of different charts to elaborate more on this possibility.