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Tolberti
Aug 30, 2022 10:09 AM

Bitcoin seasonality - Which month is the most profitable? 

BTCUSDT SPOTBybit

Description

As you can see on the chart, the best month is April. Usually, you don't want to short Bitcoin in April at all. I would avoid intraday or swing short trades on the futures market completely. On the other hand, September is a bloody month. Will this September experience a big crash? It is possible, but of course, it's not a guarantee. September starts in 2 days, and let's see if bears will step in. We can have a nice bullish start to the month, but later it can be nasty.

I really don't want to see another leg down to 13 000 USDT because this would indicate a complete impulse wave from 69 000 USDT to 13 000 USDT. Then we will look for a retracement back to 25 000 USDT to 37 000 USDT as an ABC correction, and then we can expect another impulse wave down to 3000 USDT as a zigzag correction on the monthly chart. In this case, the major impulse wave from 2009 to 2022 can be considered completed. After the drop to 3000 USDT, we can finally start a new bull market with a price target of 1 000 000 USDT and more.

  • Average return by month (%):

January: -1%
February: +8%
March: +3%
April: +29%
May: +19%
Jun: +11%
July: +7%
August: -2%
September: -10%
October: +13%
November: +21%
December: +7%

  • Average return by weekday (%):

Monday: +0.53%
Tuesday: +0.19%
Wednesday: +0.41%
Thursday: +0.22%
Friday: +0.16%
Saturday: +0.24%
Sunday: -0.05%
Comments
Mihai_Iacob
Great insight. So, sept will be very bad...
Anyway, great educational post
Tolberti
@Mihai_Iacob, I am glad you like it. Thanks for the coins!
Goldenbreakout
@Mihai_Iacob, Great explanation. Thanks - BTC will stay one of the best coins
This one shows the same details as BTC did shows before - its hard it can go as BTC - but at last it can shows what coming time.
parissap
great analysis thanks a lot
Tolberti
@parissap, Thank you for the coins!
TradingView
Tolberti
@TradingView, Thank you, TradingView, for the coins!
Vibranium_Capital
@Tolberti, and for the editors pick! haha. congrats my friend. you deserve it. love the runescape pfp too
Tolberti
@Vibranium_Capital, Thank you.
Rzgar_Espo
@TradingView, 100coins? U people earn millions out of peoples time and contribution donate 500 or don't do it at all
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