BTC 4H – Complete Technical Analysis & Trade Plan

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Market Structure

BTC is still in a macro downtrend, continuously creating Lower Highs (LH) along the descending trendline.
Recent bounce from 87,766 formed a Higher Low (HL), but structure remains bearish until price closes above 93,080.

Key Levels

Resistance / Liquidity Above:

93,080 (Major LH + liquidity cluster)

98,888

107,473

116,380

Support / Liquidity Below:

87,766 (HL)

83,786

80,600

Pattern & Trend

Price is compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, between:

Descending trendline resistance

Ascending demand trendline

This signals a volatility expansion soon.

Indicators

RSI: 65 → bullish momentum but approaching overbought zone.

Previous bullish divergences have played out.

No fresh bearish divergence yet.

Volume

Impulse buying was strong, but volume faded near resistance.
This warns of a potential rejection unless a breakout happens with high volume.

Next Likely Move

BTC likely sees:

A pullback from the 93k resistance

Into the 90k–89.5k region

Then a decisive move based on trendline reaction.

Break above 93,080 = trend shift.
Break below 87,766 = continuation down.

High-Probability Long Setup

Condition: Breakout + retest of 93,080

Entry: 93,200–93,300 on successful retest

SL: 91,300

TP1: 98,888

TP2: 107,473

TP3: 116,380
RR: 2R to 7R

Confluence:
Break in structure, break in trendline, liquidity sweep, volume expansion.

High-Probability Short Setup

Condition: Rejection from descending trendline + 93k zone

Entry: 92,800–93,000

SL: 93,800 (above liquidity)

TP1: 90,000

TP2: 87,766

TP3: 83,786

TP4: 80,600
RR: 1.8R to 7R

Confluence:
Trendline resistance, LH zone, fading volume, liquidity above price.

Summary

BTC still bearish until 93,080 breaks.

Market in compression phase.

Large move coming soon.

Best setups:

Break-and-retest long above 93,080

Rejection short from 93,000

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