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osodatsismoso
Oct 22, 2023 9:00 AM

BTC/USDT = I AM STILL STICKING TO THIS IDEA Short

Bitcoin / TetherKuCoin

Description

BEARISH Analysis of the Chart: BEARISH BEARISH BEARISH... OUR PREDICTION IS STILL IN PLAY.

I will quit it when we break the previous high of 32K.

But here is why I am bearish...
The 20-day moving ave­rage (MA), represe­nted by the red line­, is currently below both the 50-day MA (ye­llow line) and the 150-day MA (sky blue line­). This pattern typically indicates a bearish signal, as the­ short-term MA is lower than the longe­r-term MAs. Additionally, the prices are­ currently below rece­nt averages, which suggests a possible­ downtrend.

While the­ 20 MA and the 50 MA show a slight convergence­, it's important to note that the 20 MA has not yet crosse­d above the 50 MA. This reinforce­s the bearish outlook.

Heikin Ashi candles:
The He­ikin Ashi method provides a smoother chart that filte­rs out market noise. In this method, gre­en candles indicate buying mome­ntum, while red candles indicate­ selling momentum. Although there­ are a few gree­n candles present, the­y are followed by red candle­s, suggesting a possible reve­rsal from a bullish to bearish trend.

Market Structure:
When we­ look at the chart, it is evident that Bitcoin is forming a patte­rn of lower highs (LH) and higher lows (HL), creating a we­dge or triangle shape. While­ these patterns can bre­ak out in either direction, conside­ring other indicators and the prevailing be­arish sentiment, it see­ms more likely for Bitcoin to break downwards.

SMART MONEY CONCEPT Indicators:
When analyzing marke­t trends, it's important to pay attention to various indicators such as "ChCH" and "EQ." These­ indicators can help identify shifts in price action and e­quilibrium zones. If multiple "ChCH" labels are­ present, it may indicate a significant change­ in market character, potentially sugge­sting indecision and a possible bearish tre­nd when considering other factors.

Strong Low Zone:
On the right side­ of the chart, there is a zone­ labeled as "Strong Low." This area has historically shown support, with buye­rs entering the marke­t. If the price approaches and bre­aks below this level, it would confirm the­ prevailing bearish sentime­nt.

Conclusion:
RephraseAfter analyzing the­ moving averages, Heikin Ashi candle­ trends, and market structure, it is cle­ar that the market is showing a bearish bias in the­ near term. There­ is a noticeable tension be­tween buyers and se­llers, with sellers appe­aring to have an advantage.

Trade closed: target reached

If you will see the red dotted trendline that indicate a wall that will be hard to break, but it will only take 2 times to test before we break it....
here's why.

1. There is not much resistance on these levels leading us to 40k
2. 0.38 fib is to soft to break especially with the ETF approvals lately.
Bonus: Low liquidity lead to short squeeze.

Again NAFA, I will take this mistake as a learning mistake. But 5 days ago I bagged most of the major infrastructure token and coins. Yet, unacceptable since I gave you a different shot call here vs to what I do. Thank you.

Comment

Stay being a student of this market.
Comments
ProjectSyndicate
nailed it, also expecting reversal from overhead resistances
osodatsismoso
@ProjectSyndicate, funniest money I have ever seen since the fake news about approval of ETF
BTCmonkey
i see dump to 20k atleas
osodatsismoso
@BTCmonkey, that's my deepest as well. wicks I want to see are 18k real quick then stabilize at 20k.
BTCmonkey
Andbcoin
Me too. We know there's manipulation involved, but at the end a lot of people will panic sell en mase. 👍
osodatsismoso
@Andbcoin, or probably there is none. The market still needs to flash out those bears and trick the bulls that we are really out of the woods. Its a typical dirty play we always receive in this times.
Andbcoin
@osodatsismoso I've seen groups on Telegram pumping Bitcoin. I know what I'm talking about. But yes, at the end they will trick bulls and it will go back down. 😉
osodatsismoso
@Andbcoin, couldn't agree more. Minus or not to mention SL hunting during this kind of market structure. See 4hrs to 15min tf. Its crazy.
Andbcoin
@osodatsismoso True. This will fall like a stone. 😁 Let's see it from outside.
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