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nasvolegno
Mar 29, 2021 9:42 AM

BTCUSDT 4H - BREAKOUT VS FAKEOUT? 

Bitcoin / TetherUSBinance

Description

20/50/100 EMA cross.
Bull flag break out.
0.618 fibb break out.

Problem:
The bull flag had an ABC correction, but we are still missing one last drop to complete the accumulation in the channel, this is not mandatory but aligns well with the expected March drop.
I don't see the drop being under .48,250.

Comment

Aside from that if we close above 58k and if we have 2 candelsticks living on the level it would most likely mean long, we will have really strong confirmation.

Comment

The trade is being too close to call, I think safe bet would to wait for 0.786 2+ candlesticks to confirm that the short opportunity is neutralized.

Comment

Another thing, this price action doesn't look natural at all, it is a complete mirror of the 60k we had initially, so be aware of sudden moves in both directions.
Comments
hatmaendik
ABC is finished ... why you are waiting for more drop ?
nasvolegno
Let's say I would expect a standard tripple triangle accumulation before the break out of the flag (with drop under 50k, to lure in some bulls to close long)
hatmaendik
@nasvolegno, accumulation is coming in these next weeks
nasvolegno
@hatmaendik, now I need more love to the chart. :D
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