Ladies and gentlemen, maybe last week Bitcoin handed a few of you stop losses and now your nerves are fried—if you want next week (or hell, your very last Bitcoin position of 2025) to actually count, you've come to the right place. We're dissecting Bitcoin together and pinning down those long/short triggers crystal clear.
I’m Skeptic, founder of Skeptic Lab. If you want to elevate your long-term performance through genuine psychology, data-driven insights, and proven strategies, you’ve landed in the right spot.
Let's start with the daily timeframe: As you can see, we're locked in a range after that brutal dump from 100k to 82k. Ceiling sits around 93k, floor around 85k. Break 93k? You better have a position—could spark a pullback straight to 100k or even resume the full HWC uptrend. Drop below 85k? Load shorts, we're continuing that first daily bearish leg with an initial target at 78,440.
We called all this before, but what's the flow right now? Where's the real momentum?
Zoom in on those daily candles: It's glaring—the upside momentum is dominating here. Yesterday's candle straight-up engulfed the previous four (all screaming bearish bias) and closed strong to the upside. That's a textbook sign we could see solid growth in lower timeframes next week.
But if we factor in the classic pre-Christmas scenario that's played out most years? Expect 2 weeks of ranging or downside chop, followed by that post-holiday "markets wake up" explosive move we're all waiting for.
Long story short: Please Reduce your risk this week.
Drop to the 4H timeframe: Yesterday, with the Japan rate news, we got wild swings. BoJ hiked rates exactly as expected—0.25% to 0.75%, the highest in about 30 years. Market had priced it in, so no real directional fireworks, just pure volatility chaos.
Plan now? We had a fake breakout below support at 85,845. Classic—post-fakeout below, odds heavily favor breaking the top next. So for longs: 4H box ceiling break at 89,395 is our trigger, with the main trigger still that 93k daily resistance.
For shorts: Clean break of the box floor at 85,845.
We might get dead flat action today, but tomorrow—right before New York open—glue yourself to the chart. Moves love hitting then. Volume spike remains your best friend for confirmation when we're this range-bound and momentum-light.
Thanks for diving into this idea—if it clicked, I'd love a BOOST to keep the fire lit and a follow to grow our crew. Drop any symbol you want broken down in the comments, and I'll hit it. 🩵
Now get outta here.
I’m Skeptic, founder of Skeptic Lab. If you want to elevate your long-term performance through genuine psychology, data-driven insights, and proven strategies, you’ve landed in the right spot.
Let's start with the daily timeframe: As you can see, we're locked in a range after that brutal dump from 100k to 82k. Ceiling sits around 93k, floor around 85k. Break 93k? You better have a position—could spark a pullback straight to 100k or even resume the full HWC uptrend. Drop below 85k? Load shorts, we're continuing that first daily bearish leg with an initial target at 78,440.
We called all this before, but what's the flow right now? Where's the real momentum?
Zoom in on those daily candles: It's glaring—the upside momentum is dominating here. Yesterday's candle straight-up engulfed the previous four (all screaming bearish bias) and closed strong to the upside. That's a textbook sign we could see solid growth in lower timeframes next week.
But if we factor in the classic pre-Christmas scenario that's played out most years? Expect 2 weeks of ranging or downside chop, followed by that post-holiday "markets wake up" explosive move we're all waiting for.
Long story short: Please Reduce your risk this week.
Drop to the 4H timeframe: Yesterday, with the Japan rate news, we got wild swings. BoJ hiked rates exactly as expected—0.25% to 0.75%, the highest in about 30 years. Market had priced it in, so no real directional fireworks, just pure volatility chaos.
Plan now? We had a fake breakout below support at 85,845. Classic—post-fakeout below, odds heavily favor breaking the top next. So for longs: 4H box ceiling break at 89,395 is our trigger, with the main trigger still that 93k daily resistance.
For shorts: Clean break of the box floor at 85,845.
We might get dead flat action today, but tomorrow—right before New York open—glue yourself to the chart. Moves love hitting then. Volume spike remains your best friend for confirmation when we're this range-bound and momentum-light.
Thanks for diving into this idea—if it clicked, I'd love a BOOST to keep the fire lit and a follow to grow our crew. Drop any symbol you want broken down in the comments, and I'll hit it. 🩵
Now get outta here.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.