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MoralDisciple
Oct 23, 2023 8:28 PM

Bitcoin makes good profit. Now is just the beginning!!! UPDATE  Long

Bitcoin / TetherUSBinance

Description

I am confident in my analysis because it is a fact. If you think otherwise, you don't know what you're doing or you believe those who don't know what they're doing.

See you at the top, my friends.

PS Don't forget to SUPPORT and FOLLOW the analysis if you like MoralDisciple more.

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My previous btc analysis

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The price is holding at 34,000 and the RSI has declined(as I expected).

It is not impossible to move like this:

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The fact that it cannot cross the MA line is one of the signs that a decline may be coming. It's a small drop as it comes, the big picture obviously remains.

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I was bored and thought I would draw for youxD
Knowing the human psyche will make you rich, don't give up on life's opportunity!!!. We have successfully ascended for almost a year. More rise and volume is yet to come!!!. Because only now are people realizing the value of bitcoin(and altcoins).
If we are at a high level you will see a sell signal on this channel (I will do my best to calculate it)
Do you want to know how high btc levels will go? None of us know that yet. This can be seen by reading the price pattern professionally and looking at the volume. For example, nas100, us500, eurusd, etc. will certainly affect it(Everything is in a favorable light).
I follow the big picture as a whole.

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It is not good that the hourly candles are closing below the MA line, Are we crossing the pink line? Maybe

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Hourly candle closed the MA line above. This is hopeful!

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If you don't have bitcoin yet, but you are afraid of losing a lot, set SL to the pink line, which is currently only -3%, you will cheaply give yourself the chance of a lifetime to earn hundreds of percents 🤑🤑😎₿₿₿.

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I have over a hundred followers in over two months, thank you my friends.

I don't get any benefit from publishing the analysis here (Only recognition maybe?), I want to be a really good person and help people create a real opportunity with as little risk as possible. Most of my crypto analyzes are ones I even plan to invest in.

Because I've struggled to understand price movements (it's been a hell of a learning and I'm sure I'm still learning all the time) and I know most people don't understand how price works. The decision to go public was also influenced by the fact that so much of the analysis shared here on TRADINGVIEW is complete nonsense crap (I never watched them, it didn't help me!!!). I don't follow any channel here and I don't care about their BULLSHIT FUCKING. I only believe in my own system and understanding.

Whenever I find time, I try to be as open as possible and answer various comments and questions with pleasure.

Ps I CAN ALSO BE WRONG WITH THE ANALYSIS, if I'm wrong I'll try to develop a system that prevents it.

I really hope you get what I hope, see you at the top

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We are doing good

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Is this a real SPU? maybe yes. Very hopeful.
spu is valid until the price does not cross the yellow line

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SPU was already confirmed 3 hours ago. My perception was good.

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The rsi could weaken into the red without crossing the pink line. After that, he is able to rise again strongly.

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I see ABC movements(UP) on the small graph. Is this the truth?, I fucking believe it is!!!Because this is the fact of my strategy.Not a stupid person's opinion.

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I've had idiots come here who think it's going to drop pretty hard here, but there's no proof that it's going to drop fcking here (AT LEAST NOT YET).
I don't understand them, I'm not going to fill their analyzes with any nonsense in the comments or impose my opinion. If you think otherwise then you are not wasting your time writing here if you have any brains.
I'm also stupid for replying to these exos
Positive comments are always welcome, my dear friends

The first evidence that the price may be going down is when the price crosses the pink line shown on the chart (But then this can also be a false hint).
As long as the price doesn't cross the pink line, I'll be holding tight to my bitcoins and altcoins.

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This 2-3% drop is what I expected when I saw my anticipated smaller abc move come to true.

My predicted waves are to be taken as illustrative, it may not 100% produce the pattern exactly as I drew it!!! It would be good to keep the price above the yellow line

MoralDisciple

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One bad thing about the price would have been if the price closed several hourly candles "comfortably" below the purple line. It didn't and quickly got out of that shitty area. It became an SPU, which generally opens up good bullish moves. And on top of that, we now see BS.
In general, if an OSD is included in the price, there is usually one more, but it is not yet factual!!
In conclusion, I see the price is strong in this area and the big fishes do not want to sell Bitcoins. And me too.

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!!!!!!!!I'm just showing you what I do, and maybe it will help someone! !!!THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE!!! MoralDisciple can be wrong!!!!!!!!!

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Bitcoin is holding so well in this area, there is a high probability that we will create new highs(AFTER THE RESTART)!!!. My p***s is so hard right now, I don't think it ever relaxes. If it relaxes, it's only -3% for me.

MoralDisciple✌️ Little risk and big profit

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If you see the price moving comfortably in the red exclamation mark area, it is not good for the price. This can significantly weaken the price, and threaten to cross the pink line.

But at the moment there is no sign that we will go down and we are very good and full of hope. And I believe we will continue to go up from here until there is real evidence of a decline.

Anyone who says it's going down now is only saying so based on opinion, not the fact of the price movement. This person probably doesn't know much about price movements (or analyzes poorly), and is probably just giving you shit.
I'm not forcing my opinion on you, I'm just publicly showing how I think. You came here to read it yourself. I don't care if you're on my side or not. Your own choice.
MoralDisciple

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The probability of a strong rise is very high, if you compare one part in history. Very bullish

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TOTAL

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That's just my opinion lol

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I have predicted everything correctly so far.

It's just OSD2(ONE SHOT DOWN- FAST ABC), my data says this dip may go back to the yellow line. Will my strategy follow this?, we will soon see.
Other additional information is in the previous comments!

The big picture still applies very strongly.
This is my factual opinion MoralDisciple

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The only thing I can see is that it's not OSD2!!! Thorough understanding, see my previous updates. We're better than I thought. WHAT hmm. 37300 LIVE. WOW

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0% drop reference WOW. At the moment I am successful. As Bitcoin grows, so does SL. This analysis Original SL 33.4k, now 35.6k SL.

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However, caution should always be exercised. OSD2 didn't exist and I lost *special price reading* on the little chart.

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The system detected a low downside risk. It will be canceled if the price rises above the purple line.

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price is cornered

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Previous comment cancelled! UPDATE

spu and bs helped me recover the *Specific Price Reading*(SPR). A c point above a point was detected. This means that bitcoin is still holding the uptrend very strongly.

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I'm waiting for the candle to close on the hourly chart above the purple line(37,5k)

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I remind you that 33.2-33.4k is the first hint of a decline.

Currently, the 37k price area is PS(PRICE SLIDING), which says that no one wants to sell and indicates new highs.

I would like to see the price drop to the yellow line, but would it really happen? I can hope, but hope is a fool's consolation.

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My system detected SPS (SELL PRICE SLIDING). What does it mean? This is an opportunity to get cheaper than the current price, but only a tiny bit.

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Just an interesting pastime and reading:
History shows that btc loses 75-85% from its highest peak, which touches the previous highest peak.
Is BTC the new us500 (and other economic indices) designed to go up forever for as long as we live on this planet?
Does bitcoin follow its own rhythm, which is largely the human psyche
(The world's population is constantly growing and so is the understanding of bitcoin, hmm)

If the answers to both are YES, we arrive at about 250,000 thousand
This is my hypothetical thinking and has no factual support, but it's a damn interesting illusion.
Does the market capitalization allow it? And is it an illusion or not? I suggest maybe 2025? I guess I don't know yet.

It's a damn brilliant invention to help us thrive in this world. It makes us all more whole and stronger.
This is my personal belief, which may be wrong, but there is currently no confirmation that this is wrong thinking.


Please note that my material and analysis is 100% my own and does not contain anyone else's analysis or opinion. I don't follow anyone here and have no idea what others think and analyze.
MoralDisciple✌️

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As long as the macd is not crossed, I don't see the C point activated. I can be wrong BUT I strictly follow my system.
Where the price is actually after the crossing, I don't know. But ideally, the price should not exceed 34.8 levels.

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Indicators reveal the hidden truth.

Even if the price crosses the currently set b point, its crossing will activate a new b point from it. This price will not increase strongly without point c.

I keep stressing I could be wrong, but it could be quite true.

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This area is not easy to analyze and it is a challenge. But I'll do my best.

MACD has not crossed below (12h chart my settings) to activate the c-point area.

One thing I see, bitcoin is holding up very well in this area. Those who analyze the BIG sharp drop here and publicize it on TW are idiots, they are not based on different facts and do not know the details of the price structure, Amateurs. First learn the hard way for years and then be public…

The first hint of a big drop is in my previous comments if you bothered to look.
The previous comment may remain valid.

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TOTAL, interesting

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BTC:
*SUSPICIOUS* point C is not activated.
Currently there is no BS signal. NOT YET.
No one knows for sure what is going on in the small graph.

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Based on various hints, I compiled a new reading.
Whether it's wrong or right, I don't know. But it makes more sense to me than the previous reading.

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Bitcoin has been in a price slide for a month. Price slippage generally means partial price movement.
Pretty good and the next few months will probably be green.

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Let's review the history of bitcoin. We all know that history repeats itself.
I have accepted three events in history that coincide with today.
All three have previously gained support when the rsi exits the bb arc (activates point c on the small chart)
Will this happen a fourth time? We'll see soon.

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If my understanding is correct, bitcoin must not exceed SL1. Exceeding it ruins my price reading.
Personally, I expect a drop of around 6-8% to activate point c. Which ends the correction and opens another strong uptrend
I could be wrong, but that's what I believe at the moment.

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Btc is so good that I get sexually attracted hahaha.
The previous comment remains valid. Point B now looks nicer than in the previous comment.
Falling to the 37-36,000 area is not a problem, which is also the minimum level of the fib and a necessary support point to reach even higher levels. We damn well need point c if we want to earn and with as little risk as possible.
The Elliot wave strategy and its modern innovations say that point c is necessary.
PS I could be wrong but I believe it.

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Last comments in the trash.
This is not the correction I initially thought, certainly not immediately. BTC 40k is cheaper than I thought, won't explain more now.
I will do a major update soon.

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Big update!!
That correction area, which I thought was around the 36,000 level, probably the correction will come around the 50,000 level.

I believe this is a small correction since no corrections have been made since the implementation of BIG SPU and the first one is generally small.

The more it rises, the more voluminous the corrections become. Based on this, we can say that we are going almost directly above the 70k level, which is the highest level in history. 100-120k(euphoria1) is the first target, maybe 250k? But it would already need a big improvement and would be euphoria 2, for which there is no proof yet.
This is my base analysis: (If I see a mistake in it, I will let you know):


The key is price reading, or the Elliott wave strategy, and its modern innovation. Most people don't know about this modern innovation.
Even if they know this strategy, it is still easy to misapply it. I'm wrong too, because it's not easy.

I remember a guy selling a modern upgrade for 1000.i(I didn't buy or own this particular tutorial, I have my own).
The secret man who is my idol and gave me the impetus for my success.
MoralDisciple

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BITCOIN IS THE BEST INVENTION THAT WILL GROW FOREVER as long as we all live
When interested in altcoins, btc is the most important thing to understand and understand it as well as possible.
It's interesting that btc seems to be going up a lot now compared to history, but the price pattern says we're still low, wow. I'm like what the hell hahaa
We have something wonderful coming up. Economic crisis base is the best time to invest and crypto is currently top1.

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This model confirms the innovation of my analysis well
I believe in an increase from here, because it is a fact and *GRAPHICALLY* the economy is good.. There is no proof that we will fall hard
100k is the minimum.
Bitcoin: Stock-to-Flow Model:

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I looked at other people's btc analysis and got cancer. It was a mistake and now I'm full of various diseases haha

BTC IS CHEAP, history doesn't repeat itself one for one in the big picture.
In history, there are two big falls before a big rise and they copy it one for one. Any fool can do it.
They analyze the top from the 35k area and do so until the price is 100k..

Update for my supporters:
We will probably go up from the 44k area before a major correction, I don't see the need to sell btc in the short term.

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Looking at the December 5th comment, I expected the OSD movement to be slightly higher. All in all it doesn't matter, this is where btc and altcoins go up.
Long needle-It is good to set sl there.

If you don't know what OSD means, it's just a quick abc movement down.

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WOW, OSD is more powerful than I expected
by the way btc hasn't touched fib minimum, is osd touching? It can happen.
Very interesting. It might not happen, but it could be considered.

A big drop is out of the question. Elliot gives the bear his middle finger

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Will btc cross the white line? I'm 99% sure of it. What is the other 1%? We will lose everything hahaha xd.
Elliot gives the falling analyst the middle finger with both hands, and so do I.

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Elliot gives the middle finger to the drop!!!! with feet there are four middle fingers xd.
We're just at the beginning!!!!, I've known that for a long time. Because I have big picture logical thinking. Only a few know the truth, few earn the maximum.

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An altseason is likely to come.
The price is very volatile after the OSD and I don't know for sure which waves it will go up on the SMALL CHART.

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I have the mind of an artist: damn this VOLUME analysis is pretty beautiful haha
Bitcoin has an interesting cyclical behavior and the time it takes is similar (around more than 50 days).

Volume says the next cycle is coming and btc is bullish. This would also give additional confirmation to my analysis of the rise.
I suggest you dig deeper and understand, Otherwise you will wonder what shit it is

It is only an idea that may reveal the hidden truth.

MoralDisciple

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Weekly View:
Max fib touch 0.9!
Good: 0.9 level was tested, with a price pattern that point c can be applied there.
Good: FIB 0.9 level reached with weakening RSI
Good: repeatedly crossing the white line(UP TEST)
Hypothetical good: If the price goes up to 42k in the next few days, it will be BS
Bad: 40,200k (exceeding this can take the price to around 38,000)

Summary: We are still good, but MINIMALLY!!! (In a small picture!!!)
It is still BULLISH but in the coming days we will find out the real truth if it is so.

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FIFTH UP TEST!!

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Wow we already got BS

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Something is coming that cannot be compared to history. Something much better.
Proof that we're just getting started:

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GREEN LIGHT

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Bitcoin ETF Approval: SEC Signals Green Light by January 10, According to FOX. In a recent development, insider sources linked to FOX Business suggest that the SEC is poised to greenlight the first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by Jan. 10, 2024.
Looking only at the price pattern, January is already green. And if this news turns out to be true, GIGA BULLISH!

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BS!!

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TOTAL!!
I did this analysis for myself today, when the market capital was 1.620T (Yellow box). It was a possible possibility and it happened...
The original assumption was 1.575T, the real came out to be 1.565T.

It is possible that it will rise from here to 1.650T+++
btc sl 40k! just in case, because you never know for 100% sure

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The good thing is that the price volatility has not crossed the lower level of the OSD. At the moment it is impossible to say factually that a bigger drop will come, from this we conclude that we are still good.
This needle, marked with a yellow box, has several points of support.
Waves with a green arrow are illustrative.

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Yesterday's TOTAL analysis is also good, and I was right again yeahh.
Whoever is late misses out.
BTC BS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!😎

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Comment Dec 26 TOTAL mini analysis UPDATE.
The price movements are as I expected. Maybe it will drop a little more, maybe not.
The first of the two support areas has been touched.

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It is possible that the volume area after the OSD movement will last for about 10 more days. Indicators are showing a downtrend and btc price is staying in the OSD area, this is not bad but even good.

Personally, I don't think Gunn Fun's lowest support will be touched.

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I bet January will be heavily green!!!!!!!!

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I have been using Bow Volume for a long time in strategy and it is a good thing for drawing volume.

*Volume low up* there is no support point to bring the price down. Indicates that the rise (abc) is unfinished.

* volume high up- volume low up- *volume high up*(this is currently missing)= abc movement. After that comes the drop of abc.

Understanding *Bow Volume* helped me realize that we are going up strongly from the 25k area (+price reading). So far I have been right.

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BS!

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Very strong Buy Signal. So strong that BBS was immediately given instead of BS. My assumption of a green January already gives proof of this.

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As I said a long time ago: see you at the top
SPU confirmed

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Just when the SPU was activated it actually headed for landing!!! This usually means SPD (Support Point Down)!
Summary I have no idea what's going to happen next
See you in better times, goodbye

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DANGEROUS. I HAVE NO IDEA ANYMORE. bitcoin SPU(support point up) was canceled today. Surprise motherfuckers...

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At the moment, there is no evidence that it will rise from here. Considering only the price structure.
spu is definitely cancelled

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Any other altcoin updates I make may be wrong. Because they were all created based on btc

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The first quarter of this year ends in the red. Because bitcoin is showing you the middle finger.

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BTC SPU reactivated and canceled SPD, Decline hint deleted. It is important that it does not fall back to 44k

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If btc rsi turns yellow again, bloodshed is very likely

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BTC ETF was approved but...
It still looks SPD again, everything is so suspicious. Let's hope that this drop hint is canceled very soon. If this rsi turns yellow, as I said, it's bad. At the moment it is not.
Everything is possible at the moment

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Good news is not always good and is deceptive. Trading on news is not effective. Any fool can read the news, remember that.

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When btc crosses the long needle it goes to 55k or more. It also affects my other analyses, which I don't bother to update.

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January 9 comment:

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I can't find any logic that fully supports a larger decline.
I'm 70/30 bullish right now considering the whole of crypto as logically as possible.
It is worth noting that many altcoins have risen little compared to history. This gives a hint that btc will not make a major decline. If btc does a MAJOR drop, all altcoins will be very hurt.
But looking at individual altcoins, I don't see it. It's all so fucking confusing.

The next bigger grant is around 35k, but if that happens, I honestly don't know. It depends on HOW it moves there and would be revealed later.
One assumption was that once it reaches 44500k, the bloodshed will begin. It stopped just below 43k for a moment, will it continue? suspicious

My assumption that it closes the quarter candle in the red may be wrong. Obviously applies to other altcoins as well.

At the moment it is difficult for me because I can't read the price pattern right now or is it a hint that the pattern is unfinished(Rise). I rely only on the volume now, which is not the most reasonable, but there is no other way to hide it.

I believe that the MoralDisciple channel is not very effective at the moment, It is not always possible to understand everything. We'll see in better times, which may be sooner or later. If I update, it's only btc now, I assume you're not idiots and can direct btc analysis for example matic xlm sol ada etc.

One thing I know, I will not make any trades that favor the decline.
MoralDisciple

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Looking at it, you can even see that I'm not sure about anything. If you are not sure, it is more reasonable to do 8-17 normal work xdd. Everything is possible now.

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At the moment, personally, I am waiting for a bullish deal. In short or long, I don't know now

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UPDATE
37-33k is a possible reality and I hope it happens.
A very heavy drop I don't think, 20k or something similar. I rule out falling below 25k (point c). I believe that the bottom of the decline will remain above 30k
In the big picture, 100k or more still applies.
Soon we will see the truth(decline), next month? maybe

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This analysis will be the only update on my channel. I leave all other analyzes to death.
The MoralDisciple channel is primarily aimed at Bitcoin only. Other analyzes are a bonus.
And it makes sense and is useful enough for you to understand other coins if you are not an idiot.
SOON 37-33k. As it happens in February, March or April, I don't know. It doesn't matter
I will let you know when I make a trade with bitcoin (bullish only).

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Possible move

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I did a more thorough analysis that I believe. This would be a logical move considering only the price pattern.
some x.com users give similar information. PlanB or Mags.
I consider the information there to be normal because my analysis results are similar. I have not copied them, but my opinion, belief and analysis results have overlapped with theirs.
HOPE I'M RIGHT AND THAT IT'S CHEAP AND WE CAN GET THE PERFECT DEAL!!!! What would save us

MoralDisciple

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When the price reached 47k my previous analysis was cancelled. Don't expect it to drop below 40k again.

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I'll be honest, I didn't make money with this increase, I watched it from the side just in case. When trading, it is good to set a SL of 42K, which is unlikely to fall below that.
Price cooling is possible above 42k.

Don't bet on the decline.

If you are afraid of missing out buy btc or well known altcoin now, remember everything is still cheap, within 12 months you will make profit. Historical comparison is not effective if you are counting on the decline to get cheaper.

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There are several ways to move it up. I would like white more, then the SL -% is very small. Currently entering sl is -15%, considering Bitcoin it is rather big.
Looking at it visually and considering abc's strategy, white is possible, but not certain.
White is likely if btc doesn't reach 52k soon
The probability of green when 52k is reached soon

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ATH is coming

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No one wants to sell btc. I don't see it below 51k anymore. The BTC ETF is gaining momentum right now.
RSI shows a decrease in volume, it means that btc is rising calmly for x time.

Bearish analysts will be disappointed again and buy higher or miss the rally.
Any fool can think that by the time of the btc halving the price will drop because history tells you so and you bears can only copy the pattern of history.

See you at the top, MoralDisciple

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BUY NOW

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I bought more bitcoin for 30k$
Personal sl is 51150 with future contract
sl is only -1.5%
If I fail, so what haha

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I bought another $20,000. That makes about 2 bitcoins total right now. I'm crazy

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I invested another 20000k making a total of 120000k now

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Last year I offered people the opportunity to buy btc sl -3%, and it got a lot of bad opinion, which I didn't obey because I know what I'm doing(I was right). Those who believed in me have made 50% profit so far (personally I made 500% profit trading with leverage). This time it's about the same and the opposite opinion is welcome, it only confirms my success.

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Two choices

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My trade was automatically closed, it was worth testing and I will see what the price does and look for another entry

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I'll wait for the macd crossover and then we'll see. I don't think that btc will fall very strongly if it should fall. But nobody knows for 100% sure

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If you don't trade with leverages, it makes sense to have btc in your portfolio now and sell in 2025 if you are not afraid of a temporary financial loss

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btc rsi heading to yellow box minimal. At what level is the btc price then, I don't know.

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I am waiting for a support point on the weekly chart, there is a risk that the rsi will fall out of the 70 zone.
PS A large rsi tells us that the price is still low.

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On the analysis I see 45k, about a 10% drop.

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This is one theory of my illusion.

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If we believe it will happen and buy it, it will happen Easy. People's faith in it has also been successful in previous rising waves. We have a history of it going up and we're looking at it. Again, we believe it will rise and in 2025 we will see that:

btc etf changing our belief about Bitcoin for the better + psychic thinking + different companies adopting it.
In the big picture, buy now
100k this summer? we will see

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ETH/BTC
Both coins start to fall

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This is an index that shows how many percent eth is worse or better than btc, or vice versa.
The price pattern will soon favor that eth is better than btc (in the big picture).
You can see a small picture in the PREVIOUS COMMENT. The small picture favors that eth is worse than btc. Conclusion: eth will fall more than btc, easy
Big picture:

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I would be happy if btc touched the white line which would be around 48k minimum.

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Comparison with the previous two big ath waves and the indicator BB 1M, then btc price does not fall below the pink line. Be happy if it only touches for a moment, but it may not happen. It completely destroys my temporary 45k for a couple of days.
Theory:
If btc doesn't hit 49k in the next two weeks, it won't happen.
Is this the truth? Initially, I will wait a while to make sure of the situation and determine the SL.

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Don't expect it to fall below 50k anymore.

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This is my opinion.
Sell your house and buy btc lol.

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If btc rises a little more, a support point will be created from the current price area.
It seems that btc will no longer fall below 53.5k, this is important information for determining SL. At the moment, my personal sl is 50500k, but it is possible that I will raise it higher soon
RSI has reached a bow effect where there is no support point that would bring down the price of btc strongly.

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We will see btc over 60k early next month which is coming soon!!!!!!!

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It is possible that 60k+ will be reached very soon.

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Bear analysts are very depressed lol
200k+ and be logical. Alcoins are still extra cheap and btc seems expensive, a hint that reaching 100k is not a big take profit (temporary exit from crypto coins).
250k max is reasonable compared to history if repeated.
Of course, history may not repeat itself, but we have no evidence that the opposite will happen. 100k for the summer and 200-250k for the next year

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65k very soon!!

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I changed sl today to 58700k.

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Let's be honest 70k next month seems so logical or more. If you have logical thinking of the price pattern, NOT SENSELESS PSYCHIC THINKING! TW is full of psychics analysts and thinkers, and they are in the majority..

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BTC movement 2 is currently more likely today than 1. The movement is quite small that btc does not make sense to exit now. Think big, it's just a small chart.

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For laymen, if you look at altcoins that have grown well and compare with btc, sometimes you can see that btc is in a small daily loss, in my understanding this is altseason. Or am I wrong? probably not.

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wtf. was movement 2 done???? Then it is extremely fast.

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The delay has started, I'm looking for a new perfect enter (also applies to altcoins). In the big picture and trading without leverage, the exit makes no sense.
The previous entry wasn't perfect, but I still earned. Going below 58700k is unlikely for me at the moment.
I wish you luck and let's make each other rich together.
MoralDisciple

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I would like to be naive and believe that btc will not fall strongly, but...
When will the rsi 2w chart explode down and close at least one candle in the red? It doesn't seem far, but maybe a miracle will happen, I don't know what to think.
Are people going to take big profits in the next two months? We will see.

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It seems that there is an area of correction that is not finished! I could be wrong, but let's hope I'm right

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Even if it rises above 69k, it will be immediately thrown into decline. This is what the rsi says

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I'm looking forward to next week, and we'll see what the situation is.

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Don't forget Bitcoin: Stock-to-Flow Model. It says that btc is cheap and the main is yet to come!
I'm taking a risk and I believe THIS will happen again.

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btc model predicts that in 2018 the price will be 4k, but in reality it was 20k
2021 predicts that the price will be 50k, it really came to 68k
2025 forecasts 448k, but what price are we really at???
448k hahaha that sounds so incredible. Which means if this does not happen, the rhythm of the model is destroyed.
We have to believe that this 448k will be achieved and then it will happen. The question is do we believe? and does the market capital really allow it?.
About half a million sounds like an illusion, but it's damn interesting

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No matter how much btc crosses the white line, it will return to it or lower. Btc is hot and the cooling will come soon (the decline is unlikely to be big). I believe so, but I could be wrong. Btc is overbought, temporally, that's what I see
Create logical thinking with altcoins, I don't mind updating everyone.
3d chart:

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I am waiting for 3 daily candles in red

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The previous post was confirmed today, I was pretty sure that rsi would be closed out of BB. At the moment, I monitor the situation with three-day cycles.
March dates where rsi is closed outside the 70 area (assumption): (13), 16, 19 and 22. I will certainly create a logical consistency with 2-day and 4-day cycles. I think I will wait about 7 days?
I am very excited to see what altcoins will do then.
PS don't believe strong fall, it's not logical(BTC).

In Estonia, where I live, regular news channels and even radios have mentioned that btc has again reached the highest level in history, etc. (It has probably happened in other countries as well). Now even those people who don't follow btc hear and get attention, now they follow and buy.
Something the crypto market has never seen before is coming!! and it's not bad, extremely good. This is my opinion and I believe in myself.

A man who relies on facts and creates an opinion from them, MD

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A drop of around 10% this month would be good and logical.
It seems that the candle closes green on March 13
I think that March 16 will also be closed green?. Of course I'm not sure
I don't know where the level 10 drop starts. It can be 75k to start it, but..

I absolutely love this signal, the majority of times I've seen it, the price has continued to rise
And by summer over 100k

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In my eyes, all the corrections are those of point A. Point B has no point a, b or c.
I don't define waves until point B unless it touches the yellow line
An important understanding when analyzing altcoins

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80K?? is possible and then a correction (about -10%). But the correction should start at the end of this month at the latest. Maybe March 22, given the 3 day cycle. Much longer than that is something I've never seen before, and I'm ruling it out for now.
Three-day cycles 16 19 22 25, which can close one candle in the red (comment March 11).

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Will history repeat itself in the purple area? drop maybe 30%? Wait for the red and only then enter?
This is just a guess about previous times that *may not have happened* but may be remembered.
I only enter when I see point c on the correction, which doesn't exist now. Soon we will see what the real truth is.

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Some time ago I believed that the correction is: point c is higher than point a and point b is the highest peak
Today I believe that point c is lower than point a
60k?
Let's hope I'm wrong, but today I believe it

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This analysis has timed out and completed successfully. It has a lot of updates and information out of date. It's time to publish a big analysis update 2. Maybe next month, time will tell.

the first analysis and update 1, I liked it because the idiots came to tell me that it wouldn't happen. I didn't let anyone manipulate me because I knew that people who comment on such things are 100% idiots and need brain surgery.

There is no factual evidence that the correction has been completed. it's not abc.
If you see a rise it may be point b

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All coins turn bullish if the March 5 decline is point a. We'll see if it's true soon. I need more proof

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1) If March is closed in green, then the rise has lasted for 7 months!!!!(considering only the high area of the bow volume)(btc has not risen so long in a row before). hard to believe the red moon isn't coming until 100k+++.

Looking at the 3-step volume, it confirms that April (May) is red.

The decline of previous times (btc split area) is -50% decline in arithmetic calculation. Presumably the drop will be less, maybe around -30%

Summary 1: April (May) is red and summer is green

2) One thing makes it bullish now. the point is that btc is in the old ath area and is trying the new ath (the last two times the rise continued in the same area). In this case, the drop on March 5 must be point a. And btc can't go below 60k again.
Summary 2: April (May) is green and summer is red

I am waiting until the end of this month, there are many questions.
This is the last update on this analysis, good luck, MD

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I will comment one more time. and I'll add a comment to the previous update.

I looked a few days ago to see how many people think it will go up from the current price range. Knowing that the tw analyzes are bullshit, confirms my first analysis as correct, since most analyzed the opposite.

History can repeat itself, but not one for one, I've said it 100 times.
People were bearish when btc was around 30k and they were wrong(copying history), today the price is 60k and bullish(copying again). They are bullish because they SEE a strong uptrend, which is the biggest mistake they can make.
Altcoins will fall further (my personal forecast) and since I like the logical circle, this confirms that I am in favor of 1.
50k?

People are drunk on the rise, get it? drunken choices don't end well.

Analysis closed, wait for another big update on the rise
MoralDisciple

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UPDATE2!!, by clicking on the picture you will go to a new analysis

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Be good now and go click UPDATE2
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Hellstorm2
I agree with your analysis.

It is so obvious at this point that the market has turned and I appreciate every bear screaming Bull Trap since $15600. Because the Bear trap was sprung right before them then and they never realized it yet. I am so glad these guys are chasing us Bulls up the pole to cover their trades. Much abridged Perma Bears. We don't expect you to take this laying down. Oh, but how sweet it is. You guys need some whine with your cheese!
MoralDisciple
@Hellstorm2, Thanks for commenting bro. Many will understand this rise even later, because it is a normal thing in the human psyche.
Id_buy_it_for_a_dollar
This is quite a garbage. October is always a pump month, Nov+Dec are dump months - check the history. We have already reached Extreme Greed territory, on the tipping point to a major dump. But pumpers here never listen.
MoralDisciple
@vitaly-t, I don't agree with what you said. Please read the comment of October 31 and dont write more.
Hellstorm2
@vitaly-t, its November, close your short positions yet? It has been an excellent bear trap since $15,450 and clear as a bell. Of course the bull top will come when we reach the next ATH. Don't bet against the market sentiment and then momentum. Unless they make this illegal, and attack networks, this beast has left the barn is a new asset class and will be for many years. Like original Coca Cola, it just taste good and PermaLongs and Hodl's clinging onto their trusted addiction with a death grip, especially overseas. Let's ride this up and jump on the elevator on the way back down. Cheers
Setupsfx_
Great idea
MyCryptoParadise_Nathan
Thanks for sharing your insightful analysis
MoralDisciple
FellowRadek
maybe. but halving is completely irrelevant. Stock market is to watch for.
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